{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a054e88b-5f80-439d-8bb8-ae7d56aa1750", "symbol": "000785", "name": "Easyhome New Retail Group Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -44.247, "architecture_energy": 31.356, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 86.299, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.86, "rotation_up": 26.92, "upward_expansion": 16.4, "deceleration": 46.93, "rotation_down": 36.53, "downward_expansion": 66.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.193333, 2.166909, 2.256667, 2.367462 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.23, "trend_reference": 2.549667, "distance_from_trend": -0.125376, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.067074, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.272923, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.671015, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.282958, "excess_performance": -0.290358, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.125376, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094257, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.272923, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077017, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.21671, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08554, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.282958, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.002326, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 246583187, "relative_activity": 1.088126, "balance": 1.002326, "dry_up": 1.307957, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083132, "annualized_volatility": 0.310636, "from_high_reference": -0.408488, "from_low_reference": 0.14359 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.549667, "fair_value_reference": 3.067074, "structural_low": 1.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": -0.0111, "positive_rate": 0.425, "directional_follow_through": 0.575, "median_excess_return": -0.014086, "regime_survival": 0.825, "best_return": 0.231092, "worst_return": -0.105422, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.038585, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.017469, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.120172, "worst_return": -0.199339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.053846, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.016317, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.467811, "worst_return": -0.230233, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -23.802058, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.205989, "energy": 77.861655, "activity_lines": [ 2.108, 2.181455, 2.311714, 2.445957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.09, "volume": 250412185, "typical_volume": 219819723.65, "trend": 2.599333, "fair_value": 3.089949, "relative_strength": -25.422318, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.927769, "energy": 59.490743, "activity_lines": [ 2.102, 2.152545, 2.279857, 2.410817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.27, "volume": 363227645, "typical_volume": 227062651.0, "trend": 2.572667, "fair_value": 3.07892, "relative_strength": -16.922505, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.043035, "energy": 44.454762, "activity_lines": [ 2.160667, 2.162545, 2.268857, 2.38957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.23, "volume": 246583187, "typical_volume": 226612629.1, "trend": 2.549667, "fair_value": 3.067074, "relative_strength": -21.671015, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.247238, "energy": 31.356305, "activity_lines": [ 2.193333, 2.166909, 2.256667, 2.367462 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }