{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a05bdcb8-f8e9-4bb1-8805-420c2f39d22e", "symbol": "MRT", "name": "Maritana Minerals Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.518, "architecture_energy": 46.389, "architecture_maturity": 93.069, "architecture_confidence": 92.8, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.83, "rotation_up": 28.6, "upward_expansion": 7.1, "deceleration": 60.77, "rotation_down": 49.96, "downward_expansion": 82.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.653333, 0.653636, 0.686024, 0.754194 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.715, "trend_reference": 0.872667, "distance_from_trend": -0.180672, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.745416, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040804, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.234946, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.388889, "excess_performance": -0.452595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.180672, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12835, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.040804, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093856, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.262349, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.093608, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.388889, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.569769, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3689321, "relative_activity": 0.999648, "balance": 0.569769, "dry_up": 0.705264, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108392, "annualized_volatility": 0.469671, "from_high_reference": -0.541667, "from_low_reference": 0.243478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.872667, "fair_value_reference": 0.745416, "structural_low": 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"relative_strength": -30.499574, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.967353, "energy": 73.368279, "activity_lines": [ 0.659667, 0.674455, 0.736, 0.825172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.615, "volume": 2751629, "typical_volume": 4188617.75, "trend": 0.9305, "fair_value": 0.743333, "relative_strength": -33.491968, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.29888, "energy": 67.005804, "activity_lines": [ 0.641, 0.660182, 0.717405, 0.804011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.63, "volume": 1900049, "typical_volume": 3909519.15, "trend": 0.911833, "fair_value": 0.744006, "relative_strength": -31.53932, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.63089, "energy": 60.502649, "activity_lines": [ 0.634333, 0.651636, 0.702714, 0.784624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.615, "volume": 2070443, "typical_volume": 3780339.45, "trend": 0.889833, "fair_value": 0.744294, "relative_strength": -34.620452, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.165398, "energy": 61.147389, "activity_lines": [ 0.626333, 0.642727, 0.68869, 0.765473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.715, "volume": 3689321, "typical_volume": 3690619.45, "trend": 0.872667, "fair_value": 0.745416, "relative_strength": -26.234946, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.518292, "energy": 46.38891, "activity_lines": [ 0.653333, 0.653636, 0.686024, 0.754194 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }