{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a07a0d91-9bcf-48cd-bd8d-3f3e9cf5f599", "symbol": "SUMMITSEC", "name": "Summit Securities Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.385, "architecture_energy": 39.831, "architecture_maturity": 64.697, "architecture_confidence": 95.919, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.2, "rotation_up": 16.55, "upward_expansion": 5.98, "deceleration": 44.5, "rotation_down": 55.08, "downward_expansion": 79.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 1500.433325, 1513.212724, 1534.79476, 1551.980647 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1498.699951, "trend_reference": 1592.190007, "distance_from_trend": -0.058718, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1822.818591, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.177812, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.655699, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.169557, "excess_performance": -0.125848, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.058718, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09891, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.177812, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125196, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.166557, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.05179, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.169557, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.476318, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59722, "relative_activity": 2.853852, "balance": 0.476318, "dry_up": 1.124718, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062408, "annualized_volatility": 0.334942, "from_high_reference": -0.399319, "from_low_reference": 0.142302 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1592.190007, "fair_value_reference": 1822.818591, "structural_low": 1312.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.026184, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.368421, "median_excess_return": -0.002857, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.154397, "worst_return": -0.139738, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.040579, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.022826, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.302547, "worst_return": -0.12527, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.107674, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.029429, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.726355, "worst_return": -0.161819, 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"relative_strength": -16.331396, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.702999, "energy": 33.870092, "activity_lines": [ 1507.033342, 1517.772734, 1539.236194, 1558.710973 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1498.699951, "volume": 59722, "typical_volume": 20926.8, "trend": 1592.190007, "fair_value": 1822.818591, "relative_strength": -16.655699, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.385241, "energy": 39.830698, "activity_lines": [ 1500.433325, 1513.212724, 1534.79476, 1551.980647 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }