{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a09028d4-f4a5-410b-a486-07ed4ff8e75e",
    "symbol": "5I1",
    "name": "KOP Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 55.165,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 33.33,
    "architecture_energy": 46.059,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.916,
    "architecture_confidence": 39.596,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.53,
        "rotation_up": 64.37,
        "upward_expansion": 61.33,
        "deceleration": 20.14,
        "rotation_down": 20.12,
        "downward_expansion": 17.33
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.044933,
        0.044327,
        0.043081,
        0.042888
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.045,
    "trend_reference": 0.0429,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.048951,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.038612,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.165456,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -13.502834,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.0,
    "excess_performance": -0.154835,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048951,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002326,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165456,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043308,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135028,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.031034,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.039369,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.039369,
      "dry_up": 0.105232,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059829,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.310624,
      "from_high_reference": -0.318182,
      "from_low_reference": 0.184211
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.0429,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.038612,
      "structural_low": 0.038,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.117846,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.104644,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.060603,
        "worst_return": -0.314287,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.099765,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.170908,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.02704,
        "worst_return": -0.301892,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.132079,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.142941,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.044084,
        "worst_return": -0.424238,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.333348,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.37558,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.020882,
        "worst_return": -0.393937,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.142865,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.064513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.138895,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.113643,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.216235,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.069777,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.106725,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.02381,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.065217,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.04878,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.153846,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.043478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-07-17",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.039182,
        "volume": 150100,
        "typical_volume": 64525.0,
        "trend": 0.042316,
        "fair_value": 0.052173,
        "relative_strength": -16.198874,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.685927,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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        "typical_volume": 78585.0,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
        "close": 0.037223,
        "volume": 69900,
        "typical_volume": 82825.0,
        "trend": 0.041696,
        "fair_value": 0.05206,
        "relative_strength": -19.223761,
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        "energy": 25.428842,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
        "close": 0.037223,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 66330.0,
        "trend": 0.041696,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-29",
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        "typical_volume": 76510.0,
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        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-06",
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        "typical_volume": 60815.0,
        "trend": 0.041794,
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        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-10-13",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-20",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-10-27",
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      },
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        "date": "2023-12-01",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-12-22",
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        "date": "2023-12-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-05",
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        "typical_volume": 106990.0,
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        "relative_strength": -24.024006,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 24.996362,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-12",
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        "volume": 2200,
        "typical_volume": 93040.0,
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2024-01-19",
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        "volume": 500000,
        "typical_volume": 116515.0,
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 0.045,
        "volume": 28200,
        "typical_volume": 149585.0,
        "trend": 0.043767,
        "fair_value": 0.038333,
        "relative_strength": -6.449197,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.530618,
        "energy": 17.548658,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 0.043,
        "volume": 4706500,
        "typical_volume": 376980.0,
        "trend": 0.0436,
        "fair_value": 0.038319,
        "relative_strength": -10.399456,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -4.82651,
        "energy": 11.174643,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 0.041,
        "volume": 124500,
        "typical_volume": 374685.0,
        "trend": 0.043467,
        "fair_value": 0.0383,
        "relative_strength": -15.242669,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.823279,
        "energy": 20.243052,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.043,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 247800,
        "typical_volume": 364690.0,
        "trend": 0.043267,
        "fair_value": 0.038292,
        "relative_strength": -18.161033,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.328784,
        "energy": 23.959093,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 329505.0,
        "trend": 0.043,
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        "relative_strength": -19.313659,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 35.370243,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.039,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 287070.0,
        "trend": 0.0428,
        "fair_value": 0.038265,
        "relative_strength": -19.14457,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.032843,
        "energy": 54.249467,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.039,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 287060.0,
        "trend": 0.0427,
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        "relative_strength": -18.302181,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.512753,
        "energy": 57.443401,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 287060.0,
        "trend": 0.0426,
        "fair_value": 0.03825,
        "relative_strength": -20.472211,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.868574,
        "energy": 56.414665,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 0.045,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 287060.0,
        "trend": 0.042667,
        "fair_value": 0.038287,
        "relative_strength": -7.853728,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.614353,
        "energy": 12.955813,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.041,
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          0.041471,
          0.042028
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.046,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 284550.0,
        "trend": 0.042767,
        "fair_value": 0.038331,
        "relative_strength": -6.420471,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 8.268448,
        "energy": 11.844533,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.042933,
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          0.042243
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.044,
        "volume": 100200,
        "typical_volume": 289555.0,
        "trend": 0.042767,
        "fair_value": 0.038381,
        "relative_strength": -13.771893,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.122609,
        "energy": 16.552112,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.043733,
          0.042127,
          0.042024,
          0.042323
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.045,
        "volume": 20100,
        "typical_volume": 290560.0,
        "trend": 0.042767,
        "fair_value": 0.038437,
        "relative_strength": -11.985273,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.547775,
        "energy": 22.420124,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.044533,
          0.042764,
          0.042295,
          0.042467
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.045,
        "volume": 100100,
        "typical_volume": 295565.0,
        "trend": 0.0428,
        "fair_value": 0.038499,
        "relative_strength": -12.688561,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 16.330273,
        "energy": 29.000483,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.044933,
          0.043364,
          0.042562,
          0.042611
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.045,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 295560.0,
        "trend": 0.0429,
        "fair_value": 0.038555,
        "relative_strength": -12.883412,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 27.426055,
        "energy": 29.550492,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.044933,
          0.043891,
          0.042824,
          0.042753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.045,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 285560.0,
        "trend": 0.0429,
        "fair_value": 0.038612,
        "relative_strength": -13.502834,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.330041,
        "energy": 46.0586,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.044933,
          0.044327,
          0.043081,
          0.042888
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}