{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a095d09a-c796-4bb1-9c55-22b2aa654830", "symbol": "JAN", "name": "Jangada Mines Plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.733, "architecture_energy": 84.601, "architecture_maturity": 38.0, "architecture_confidence": 95.134, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 14.56, "upward_expansion": 20.73, "deceleration": 37.39, "rotation_down": 76.11, "downward_expansion": 98.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.00865, 0.009536, 0.01134, 0.012918 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.00825, "trend_reference": 0.014675, "distance_from_trend": -0.437819, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.01327, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.378291, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.671596, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.431034, "excess_performance": -0.48227, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.437819, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104182, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.378291, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.632201, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.426716, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.800695, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.431034, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.04523, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 31637843, "relative_activity": 1.400349, "balance": 0.04523, "dry_up": 0.826838, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.244942, "annualized_volatility": 0.911969, "from_high_reference": -0.725, "from_low_reference": 0.833333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.014675, "fair_value_reference": 0.01327, "structural_low": 0.0065, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.475, "median_excess_return": -0.020154, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.555556, "worst_return": -0.25, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.12, "positive_rate": 0.230769, "directional_follow_through": 0.769231, "median_excess_return": -0.115546, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.285714, "worst_return": -0.318182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.073171, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.116827, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.423077, "worst_return": -0.409091, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.15, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.543478, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.114286, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.504854, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.483871, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.414634, "active": false 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"close": 0.00875, "volume": 14596836, "typical_volume": 29472528.95, "trend": 0.015158, "fair_value": 0.013465, "relative_strength": -37.877973, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.993125, "energy": 74.759338, "activity_lines": [ 0.009733, 0.010477, 0.012318, 0.013791 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.00825, "volume": 8003393, "typical_volume": 25989383.7, "trend": 0.014883, "fair_value": 0.013368, "relative_strength": -42.291077, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.095914, "energy": 80.247434, "activity_lines": [ 0.0091, 0.009945, 0.011806, 0.013346 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.00825, "volume": 31637843, "typical_volume": 22592819.7, "trend": 0.014675, "fair_value": 0.01327, "relative_strength": -42.671596, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.732867, "energy": 84.601185, "activity_lines": [ 0.00865, 0.009536, 0.01134, 0.012918 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }