{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a09ff01e-9fa0-437e-829c-74113e3d2eb8",
    "symbol": "C33",
    "name": "Chuan Hup Holdings Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.531,
    "architecture_energy": 72.609,
    "architecture_maturity": 9.78,
    "architecture_confidence": 67.894,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.39,
        "rotation_up": 73.11,
        "upward_expansion": 89.27,
        "deceleration": 45.65,
        "rotation_down": 9.61,
        "downward_expansion": 15.93
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        0.254,
        0.248095,
        0.244538
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.245,
    "trend_reference": 0.239667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.022253,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.181145,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.352505,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.969863,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.088889,
    "excess_performance": -0.065946,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022253,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030824,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.352505,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056035,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089699,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1867,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088889,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.580214,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 172800,
      "relative_activity": 0.256915,
      "balance": 3.580214,
      "dry_up": 1.084828,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040816,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.225266,
      "from_high_reference": -0.109091,
      "from_low_reference": 0.540793
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.239667,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.181145,
      "structural_low": 0.22,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.020832,
        "positive_rate": 0.52381,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52381,
        "median_excess_return": 0.013698,
        "regime_survival": 0.761905,
        "best_return": 0.242936,
        "worst_return": -0.042553,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.03139,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011073,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.393942,
        "worst_return": -0.09091,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.0,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.054002,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.159089,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.169951,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-01-02",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 1030585.0,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 987305.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.179179,
        "relative_strength": 2.802004,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.676273,
        "energy": 86.532324,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.253,
          0.246182,
          0.242976,
          0.240247
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 939500,
        "typical_volume": 885895.0,
        "trend": 0.238,
        "fair_value": 0.179919,
        "relative_strength": 4.702305,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.061486,
        "energy": 96.303686,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.262,
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          0.24631,
          0.242731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.26,
        "volume": 415300,
        "typical_volume": 870680.0,
        "trend": 0.239,
        "fair_value": 0.180586,
        "relative_strength": -2.022936,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.472657,
        "energy": 86.369299,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.263333,
          0.254636,
          0.248,
          0.244151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.245,
        "volume": 172800,
        "typical_volume": 672595.0,
        "trend": 0.239667,
        "fair_value": 0.181145,
        "relative_strength": -8.969863,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.530924,
        "energy": 72.60911,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.258333,
          0.254,
          0.248095,
          0.244538
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}