{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a0a2b1b0-27d0-47ea-a3d3-4a821e64abad", "symbol": "NOC", "name": "Northrop Grumman Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.905, "architecture_energy": 27.418, "architecture_maturity": 75.224, "architecture_confidence": 72.408, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.82, "rotation_up": 27.55, "upward_expansion": 20.98, "deceleration": 46.77, "rotation_down": 27.51, "downward_expansion": 57.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 549.154, 541.446182, 549.151265, 578.387765 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 571.58, "trend_reference": 615.710555, "distance_from_trend": -0.071674, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 509.439531, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.121978, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -15.345336, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.187676, "excess_performance": -0.313301, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.071674, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015881, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.121978, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027609, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.153453, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02183, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.187676, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.129384, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3101368, "relative_activity": 0.716589, "balance": 1.129384, "dry_up": 1.036239, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058908, "annualized_volatility": 0.322262, "from_high_reference": -0.258142, "from_low_reference": 0.193228 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 615.710555, "fair_value_reference": 509.439531, 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}, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 539.63, "volume": 3970305, "typical_volume": 4330620.7, "trend": 620.853764, "fair_value": 506.288814, "relative_strength": -19.308714, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.513965, "energy": 57.998019, "activity_lines": [ 532.507333, 537.075497, 567.572121, 597.611081 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 521.57, "volume": 4549603, "typical_volume": 4337025.9, "trend": 619.437042, "fair_value": 506.867224, "relative_strength": -20.576638, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.55739, "energy": 56.301652, "activity_lines": [ 528.997333, 533.646492, 559.348943, 591.205677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 542.24, "volume": 6274725, "typical_volume": 4366926.6, "trend": 618.414613, "fair_value": 507.600942, "relative_strength": -16.658709, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.492091, "energy": 44.995353, "activity_lines": [ 534.294667, 534.438293, 554.04437, 586.225223 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 542.48, "volume": 4013511, "typical_volume": 4397056.05, "trend": 617.125984, "fair_value": 508.40413, "relative_strength": -17.141387, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.422685, "energy": 37.414162, "activity_lines": [ 538.289333, 535.200722, 549.764759, 581.326215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 571.58, "volume": 3101368, "typical_volume": 4327958.8, "trend": 615.710555, "fair_value": 509.439531, "relative_strength": -15.345336, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.905266, "energy": 27.418471, "activity_lines": [ 549.154, 541.446182, 549.151265, 578.387765 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }