{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a0aafd77-d4b5-48d7-a0ce-a16748391f38",
    "symbol": "SAA",
    "name": "PROSHARES TRUST PSHS ULT SCAP600",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.607,
    "architecture_energy": 54.772,
    "architecture_maturity": 78.156,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.161,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.01,
        "rotation_up": 47.8,
        "upward_expansion": 77.28,
        "deceleration": 73.27,
        "rotation_down": 26.99,
        "downward_expansion": 8.62
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 37.8766,
    "trend_reference": 31.925758,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.186396,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 25.065462,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.511107,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 16.165706,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.221543,
    "excess_performance": 0.095918,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186396,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.117148,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.511107,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118585,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.161657,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013119,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.221543,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.560093,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 0.878869,
      "balance": 1.560093,
      "dry_up": 0.535814,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.052832,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.304544,
      "from_high_reference": -0.027309,
      "from_low_reference": 0.70267
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 25.065462,
      "structural_low": 25.194151,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": 0.022908,
        "positive_rate": 0.68,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.68,
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        "worst_return": -0.146708,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.6459,
        "volume": 17260,
        "typical_volume": 31241.55,
        "trend": 30.980418,
        "fair_value": 24.795684,
        "relative_strength": 19.042595,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 65.354825,
        "energy": 78.686479,
        "activity_lines": [
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          33.9283,
          32.575344
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 35.9886,
        "volume": 11165,
        "typical_volume": 30388.9,
        "trend": 31.278987,
        "fair_value": 24.878084,
        "relative_strength": 16.955522,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.177402,
        "energy": 56.991007,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.4619,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.1588,
        "volume": 9354,
        "typical_volume": 29820.65,
        "trend": 31.610191,
        "fair_value": 24.964338,
        "relative_strength": 15.50649,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.904091,
        "energy": 50.560293,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.289787,
          36.145712,
          34.668205,
          33.213279
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 37.8766,
        "volume": 26260,
        "typical_volume": 29879.3,
        "trend": 31.925758,
        "fair_value": 25.065462,
        "relative_strength": 16.165706,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.607357,
        "energy": 54.771866,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}