{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a0ab18b8-16c8-4518-8bc3-75163245b163", "symbol": "GNSS", "name": "Genasys Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.299, "architecture_energy": 30.993, "architecture_maturity": 19.325, "architecture_confidence": 92.524, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.16, "rotation_up": 18.0, "upward_expansion": 2.77, "deceleration": 50.41, "rotation_down": 51.67, "downward_expansion": 76.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.707333, 1.720909, 1.797571, 1.825849 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.74, "trend_reference": 1.878, "distance_from_trend": -0.073482, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.268365, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.232928, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.760935, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.116751, "excess_performance": -0.304205, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.073482, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078358, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.232928, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109488, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.247609, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109788, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.116751, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.061348, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 417158, "relative_activity": 0.773737, "balance": 1.061348, "dry_up": 0.661544, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.133917, "annualized_volatility": 0.505036, "from_high_reference": -0.355556, "from_low_reference": 0.242857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.878, "fair_value_reference": 2.268365, "structural_low": 1.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.009124, "positive_rate": 0.451613, "directional_follow_through": 0.548387, "median_excess_return": -0.055101, "regime_survival": 0.806452, "best_return": 0.247492, "worst_return": -0.179134, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.054645, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": 0.007798, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.55303, "worst_return": -0.351931, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.099232, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.216532, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.106061, "worst_return": -0.409091, "sufficient": true }, { 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.134021, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.16, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.00463, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.017094, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.035242, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.066351, "active": 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"direction": -53.662783, "energy": 52.506228, "activity_lines": [ 1.736, 1.826, 1.86219, 1.891785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.81, "volume": 827433, "typical_volume": 596091.85, "trend": 1.943667, "fair_value": 2.29734, "relative_strength": -23.251779, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.300248, "energy": 52.290565, "activity_lines": [ 1.748667, 1.813818, 1.856095, 1.882516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.72, "volume": 425789, "typical_volume": 582360.55, "trend": 1.926333, "fair_value": 2.29125, "relative_strength": -23.418989, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.705613, "energy": 44.768341, "activity_lines": [ 1.736, 1.787455, 1.842524, 1.868086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.66, "volume": 273225, "typical_volume": 560388.75, "trend": 1.907667, "fair_value": 2.283429, "relative_strength": -24.556319, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.350517, "energy": 37.594699, "activity_lines": [ 1.717333, 1.756364, 1.824048, 1.850903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.67, "volume": 310506, "typical_volume": 538562.5, "trend": 1.890667, "fair_value": 2.276827, "relative_strength": -24.294746, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.073868, "energy": 32.955827, "activity_lines": [ 1.7, 1.729455, 1.807095, 1.83557 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.74, "volume": 417158, "typical_volume": 539146.75, "trend": 1.878, "fair_value": 2.268365, "relative_strength": -24.760935, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.299418, "energy": 30.992966, "activity_lines": [ 1.707333, 1.720909, 1.797571, 1.825849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }