{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a0b195e9-b7b0-406d-a161-890400190ea6", "symbol": "MEAL3", "name": "International Meal Company Alimenta\u00e7\u00e3o S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -88.347, "architecture_energy": 95.885, "architecture_maturity": 74.0, "architecture_confidence": 78.147, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 8.0, "upward_expansion": 22.0, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 89.17, "downward_expansion": 100.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.64, 0.74, 0.843571, 0.902473 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.59, "trend_reference": 0.986667, "distance_from_trend": -0.402027, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.359744, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.566095, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.594619, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.477876, "excess_performance": -0.420828, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.402027, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123482, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.566095, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.295817, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.495946, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.252659, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.477876, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.080984, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 734200, "relative_activity": 0.672289, "balance": 0.080984, "dry_up": 1.226891, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.099087, "annualized_volatility": 0.397572, "from_high_reference": -0.598639, "from_low_reference": 0.017241 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.986667, "fair_value_reference": 1.359744, "structural_low": 0.58, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.007349, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.013052, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.410526, "worst_return": -0.322917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.05298, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.029352, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.428571, "worst_return": -0.458716, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.087629, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.137622, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.060606, "worst_return": -0.477876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"start": "2024-09-13", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.111888, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.181818, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.067164, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.05, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.19469, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.044776, "active": false 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -94.74645, "energy": 96.454665, "activity_lines": [ 0.832667, 0.888727, 0.938286, 0.982366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.65, "volume": 895700, "typical_volume": 1079000.0, "trend": 1.03, "fair_value": 1.384744, "relative_strength": -46.963432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -94.756448, "energy": 97.744299, "activity_lines": [ 0.758, 0.838545, 0.907714, 0.956581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.61, "volume": 935900, "typical_volume": 1080890.0, "trend": 1.008667, "fair_value": 1.371218, "relative_strength": -50.42787, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -91.765291, "energy": 96.990369, "activity_lines": [ 0.690667, 0.787455, 0.875571, 0.929484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.59, "volume": 734200, "typical_volume": 1092090.0, "trend": 0.986667, "fair_value": 1.359744, "relative_strength": -49.594619, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.347301, "energy": 95.884985, "activity_lines": [ 0.64, 0.74, 0.843571, 0.902473 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }