{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a0b2c32e-b819-43f1-9192-30e2ece02b2a", "symbol": "5464", "name": "Mory Industries Inc.", "exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 76.429, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -19.792, "architecture_energy": 10.304, "architecture_maturity": 12.389, "architecture_confidence": 64.808, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.0, "rotation_up": 27.65, "upward_expansion": 30.93, "deceleration": 41.81, "rotation_down": 32.12, "downward_expansion": 46.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 950.133333, 948.218182, 946.871429, 950.290296 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 945.0, "trend_reference": 956.856547, "distance_from_trend": -0.012391, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 930.69989, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.015365, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.020065, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.038218, "excess_performance": -0.199953, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012391, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017738, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.015365, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019188, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.180201, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055049, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.038218, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.323032, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 89800, "relative_activity": 1.092059, "balance": 1.323032, "dry_up": 1.248024, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025722, "annualized_volatility": 0.130906, "from_high_reference": -0.092505, "from_low_reference": 0.089698 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 956.856547, "fair_value_reference": 930.69989, "structural_low": 911.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.010311, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": -0.012395, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.083149, "worst_return": -0.090252, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.027874, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.048983, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.140631, "worst_return": -0.092649, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.034741, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.099152, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.109981, "worst_return": -0.143146, "sufficient": false }, 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76000, "typical_volume": 86370.0, "trend": 959.12053, "fair_value": 928.529853, "relative_strength": -20.381568, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.237243, "energy": 7.788449, "activity_lines": [ 951.8, 948.218182, 947.352381, 951.201297 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 945.0, "volume": 89800, "typical_volume": 82230.0, "trend": 956.856547, "fair_value": 930.69989, "relative_strength": -18.020065, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.791698, "energy": 10.303748, "activity_lines": [ 950.133333, 948.218182, 946.871429, 950.290296 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }