{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a0dfdc31-545d-4381-800d-5cee2818c483",
    "symbol": "DBO",
    "name": "Deutsche B\u00f6rse AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.485,
    "architecture_energy": 84.585,
    "architecture_maturity": 16.667,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.883,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.68,
        "rotation_up": 85.19,
        "upward_expansion": 95.8,
        "deceleration": 39.09,
        "rotation_down": 8.69,
        "downward_expansion": 17.8
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        257.26,
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        249.512392
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 273.600006,
    "trend_reference": 241.409873,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.133342,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 213.877294,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.279238,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.590265,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.294772,
    "excess_performance": 0.120526,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.133342,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056786,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.279238,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118755,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045903,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109053,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.294772,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 0.678392,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035672,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.233432,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006175,
      "from_low_reference": 0.370635
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 213.877294,
      "structural_low": 199.812012,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": -0.008648,
        "positive_rate": 0.424242,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.424242,
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        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.105384,
        "worst_return": -0.088398,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "energy": 81.896163,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 226.291583,
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        "relative_strength": -12.823741,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 2,
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        "relative_strength": -9.166642,
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        "energy": 40.962052,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": -14.053703,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 208.476992,
        "relative_strength": -12.823581,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 30.808017,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 14.381484,
        "energy": 12.928264,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 250.399994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 21.4,
        "trend": 233.769327,
        "fair_value": 210.689958,
        "relative_strength": -14.592287,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 15.225924,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 249.399994,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 17.0,
        "trend": 235.052055,
        "fair_value": 211.287654,
        "relative_strength": -13.119268,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.978429,
        "energy": 14.62252,
        "activity_lines": [
          246.81333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 257.299988,
        "volume": 27,
        "typical_volume": 15.6,
        "trend": 236.404824,
        "fair_value": 211.920793,
        "relative_strength": -7.977632,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.837307,
        "energy": 35.920693,
        "activity_lines": [
          250.48666,
          248.838178,
          248.751916,
          244.262228
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 257.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.7,
        "trend": 237.649595,
        "fair_value": 212.49624,
        "relative_strength": -8.604621,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.36074,
        "energy": 54.911882,
        "activity_lines": [
          253.626661,
          250.50727,
          249.6985,
          245.623207
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 263.600006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 12.45,
        "trend": 239.268059,
        "fair_value": 213.153348,
        "relative_strength": -5.835964,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.172531,
        "energy": 68.14118,
        "activity_lines": [
          257.939998,
          253.034544,
          251.138072,
          247.297428
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 273.600006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 9.95,
        "trend": 241.409873,
        "fair_value": 213.877294,
        "relative_strength": -4.590265,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.485012,
        "energy": 84.584986,
        "activity_lines": [
          263.926668,
          257.26,
          253.413013,
          249.512392
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}