{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a0ed2c3e-6a74-4686-9b59-fc4fe554361d", "symbol": "KKRC", "name": "KKR & Co. Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 59.949, "architecture_energy": 56.843, "architecture_maturity": 14.883, "architecture_confidence": 71.536, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.48, "rotation_up": 77.11, "upward_expansion": 48.8, "deceleration": 37.16, "rotation_down": 21.35, "downward_expansion": 23.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 1772.309351, 1727.869829, 1711.256585, 1701.933508 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1846.800049, "trend_reference": 1730.975586, "distance_from_trend": 0.066913, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2020.037633, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.08576, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.027865, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.085952, "excess_performance": 0.140618, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066913, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106653, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.08576, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016536, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.110279, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.174435, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.085952, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.542397, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 651, "relative_activity": 1.768061, "balance": 0.542397, "dry_up": 1.577947, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026103, "annualized_volatility": 0.332595, "from_high_reference": -0.330662, "from_low_reference": 0.228062 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1730.975586, "fair_value_reference": 2020.037633, "structural_low": 1503.833252, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.102696, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.053692, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.028041, "worst_return": -0.159428, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.115966, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.170857, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.071388, "worst_return": -0.344258, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.277845, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.296487, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.176241, "worst_return": -0.401265, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.132743, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.200151, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.217701, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.021784, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.079675, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.052172, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.075734, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010101, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.229936, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.04339, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 991.953735, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 2.6, "trend": 969.219769, "fair_value": 1044.283475, "relative_strength": 1.851128, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": 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"Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.52193, "energy": 10.074049, "activity_lines": [ 1699.59467, 1684.438548, 1688.933308, 1696.688045 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1755.0, "volume": 1388, "typical_volume": 336.9, "trend": 1750.731152, "fair_value": 2014.556792, "relative_strength": -16.480225, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": 21.099204, "energy": 28.62424, "activity_lines": [ 1724.152002, 1698.881456, 1696.242969, 1695.735515 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1846.800049, "volume": 651, "typical_volume": 368.2, "trend": 1730.975586, "fair_value": 2020.037633, "relative_strength": -11.027865, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 59.949166, "energy": 56.843409, "activity_lines": [ 1772.309351, 1727.869829, 1711.256585, 1701.933508 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }