{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a0f088ab-ee85-49f1-bcae-5cb1e9ab15f5", "symbol": "2882", "name": "Cathay Financial Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.683, "architecture_energy": 48.468, "architecture_maturity": 47.063, "architecture_confidence": 63.583, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.7, "rotation_up": 48.92, "upward_expansion": 78.26, "deceleration": 69.17, "rotation_down": 25.63, "downward_expansion": 7.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 99.860001, 99.080063, 94.28307, 88.92499 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 101.5, "trend_reference": 82.867585, "distance_from_trend": 0.224846, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.477288, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.706534, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.170724, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.388705, "excess_performance": -0.052667, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.224846, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.148292, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.706534, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.33113, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011707, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.216936, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.388705, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.154059, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80193001, "relative_activity": 0.508685, "balance": 2.154059, "dry_up": 0.659347, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080898, "annualized_volatility": 0.398866, "from_high_reference": -0.105319, "from_low_reference": 0.70935 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 82.867585, "fair_value_reference": 59.477288, "structural_low": 64.979311, "invalidation": "A 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"fair_value": 58.312661, "relative_strength": -1.592871, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.390711, "energy": 38.256072, "activity_lines": [ 96.04299, 97.02163, 89.742577, 85.093948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 101.5, "volume": 138822268, "typical_volume": 160239940.05, "trend": 81.033907, "fair_value": 58.711501, "relative_strength": 4.457517, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.078395, "energy": 43.90155, "activity_lines": [ 97.640001, 98.233542, 91.472626, 86.477307 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.400002, "volume": 94533067, "typical_volume": 159214021.6, "trend": 81.927011, "fair_value": 59.089223, "relative_strength": -0.025028, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.965735, "energy": 41.405526, "activity_lines": [ 98.593335, 98.617305, 92.848998, 87.662216 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 101.5, "volume": 80193001, "typical_volume": 157647679.05, "trend": 82.867585, "fair_value": 59.477288, "relative_strength": -1.170724, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.682835, "energy": 48.467635, "activity_lines": [ 99.860001, 99.080063, 94.28307, 88.92499 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }