{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a0fc8441-4882-4e27-a199-1e8914826718",
    "symbol": "SAKUMA",
    "name": "Sakuma Exports Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.231,
    "architecture_energy": 69.207,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.167,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.581,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 21.39,
        "rotation_up": 6.69,
        "upward_expansion": 21.57,
        "deceleration": 43.26,
        "rotation_down": 78.99,
        "downward_expansion": 87.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.654,
        1.723273,
        1.795333,
        1.79443
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.63,
    "trend_reference": 1.815333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.102093,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.547281,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.540493,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -20.77919,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.172589,
    "excess_performance": -0.12888,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.102093,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.085781,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.540493,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.063362,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.207792,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038997,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.172589,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.540965,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3487548,
      "relative_activity": 0.626757,
      "balance": 0.540965,
      "dry_up": 0.522038,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076923,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.62957,
      "from_high_reference": -0.474194,
      "from_low_reference": 0.481818
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.815333,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.547281,
      "structural_low": 1.1,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.038369,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03954,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.383562,
        "worst_return": -0.231579,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.088819,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.096068,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.081712,
        "worst_return": -0.263014,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.173015,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.202132,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": -0.336806,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.35554,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.191546,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 1.028616,
        "worst_return": -0.317536,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-06-16",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.003472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.35241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "return": 0.102804,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.109727,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.061673,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.450835,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.345088,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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    ],
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 6121600.9,
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          1.776,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.64,
        "volume": 2485198,
        "typical_volume": 5962281.35,
        "trend": 1.848333,
        "fair_value": 3.566363,
        "relative_strength": -19.178803,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 63.854179,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.718667,
          1.794909,
          1.82619,
          1.820839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.64,
        "volume": 2952775,
        "typical_volume": 5793109.6,
        "trend": 1.831,
        "fair_value": 3.558853,
        "relative_strength": -20.464238,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.612468,
        "energy": 68.819032,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.679333,
          1.759091,
          1.811381,
          1.807398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.63,
        "volume": 3487548,
        "typical_volume": 5564430.95,
        "trend": 1.815333,
        "fair_value": 3.547281,
        "relative_strength": -20.77919,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.23098,
        "energy": 69.207154,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.654,
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          1.79443
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}