{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a128c837-1521-489a-8283-fe247aab11e6", "symbol": "MANORG", "name": "Mangalam Organics Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_to_3_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 2 \u2192 3 watch", "confidence": 52.493, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -1.22, "architecture_energy": 9.402, "architecture_maturity": 15.884, "architecture_confidence": 63.41, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 63.34, "rotation_up": 20.67, "upward_expansion": 49.54, "deceleration": 78.84, "rotation_down": 34.96, "downward_expansion": 27.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 497.629991, 512.632721, 517.715949, 498.886772 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 457.899994, "trend_reference": 475.956665, "distance_from_trend": -0.037938, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 451.042309, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.015204, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.725576, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.054219, "excess_performance": 0.097928, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037938, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018394, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.015204, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.338581, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.067256, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.317444, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.054219, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.265568, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41542, "relative_activity": 0.793381, "balance": 0.265568, "dry_up": 0.636679, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127455, "annualized_volatility": 0.6411, "from_high_reference": -0.28212, "from_low_reference": 0.285333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 475.956665, "fair_value_reference": 451.042309, "structural_low": 356.25, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.01067, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.051753, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.26498, "worst_return": -0.135522, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.045981, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.072821, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.26247, "worst_return": -0.196285, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.026061, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.059863, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.041444, "worst_return": -0.141663, 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490.898926 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 557.599976, "volume": 27441, "typical_volume": 49265.75, "trend": 475.865, "fair_value": 450.228527, "relative_strength": 15.07363, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.909385, "energy": 37.014026, "activity_lines": [ 544.029993, 536.479998, 519.171665, 496.347419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 523.599976, "volume": 28396, "typical_volume": 50073.3, "trend": 477.253333, "fair_value": 450.682694, "relative_strength": 10.342927, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.101065, "energy": 27.638601, "activity_lines": [ 536.576652, 533.466358, 522.381663, 499.427094 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 488.5, "volume": 35969, "typical_volume": 51139.85, "trend": 477.521665, "fair_value": 450.92404, "relative_strength": 0.273319, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.183678, "energy": 14.753904, "activity_lines": [ 520.079989, 525.000903, 521.704282, 500.152686 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 457.899994, "volume": 41542, "typical_volume": 52360.75, "trend": 475.956665, "fair_value": 451.042309, "relative_strength": -6.725576, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": -1.219687, "energy": 9.402328, "activity_lines": [ 497.629991, 512.632721, 517.715949, 498.886772 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }