{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a12f6dfe-264d-46f3-8518-f079466b7c02", "symbol": "YNGA", "name": "Young & Co.'s Brewery, P.L.C.", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.112, "architecture_energy": 71.674, "architecture_maturity": 18.392, "architecture_confidence": 77.999, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.28, "rotation_up": 76.49, "upward_expansion": 93.81, "deceleration": 40.17, "rotation_down": 10.94, "downward_expansion": 15.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 913.4, 893.145455, 850.972512, 836.064188 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 914.0, "trend_reference": 827.228733, "distance_from_trend": 0.104894, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 910.219009, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.004154, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.316465, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.07783, "excess_performance": 0.026595, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.104894, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050466, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.004154, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.172863, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.043165, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164859, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.07783, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.947742, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 155899, "relative_activity": 0.237748, "balance": 0.947742, "dry_up": 0.366106, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060666, "annualized_volatility": 0.367388, "from_high_reference": -0.029724, "from_low_reference": 0.305714 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 827.228733, "fair_value_reference": 910.219009, "structural_low": 700.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.004167, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.222222, "median_excess_return": -0.003251, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.045767, "worst_return": -0.077419, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.08453, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.086733, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.020836, "worst_return": -0.158436, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.100341, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.08193, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.030904, "worst_return": -0.258111, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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888.466667, 855.022737, 821.889589, 817.848244 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 907.0, "volume": 263070, "typical_volume": 660565.6, "trend": 817.562067, "fair_value": 913.427827, "relative_strength": 4.495047, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.396786, "energy": 76.128346, "activity_lines": [ 899.666667, 870.011267, 831.528341, 823.977573 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 914.0, "volume": 246215, "typical_volume": 660850.0, "trend": 823.0954, "fair_value": 911.85545, "relative_strength": 4.371746, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.411917, "energy": 74.768244, "activity_lines": [ 908.666667, 882.979479, 841.505189, 830.199375 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 914.0, "volume": 155899, "typical_volume": 655731.6, "trend": 827.228733, "fair_value": 910.219009, "relative_strength": 4.316465, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.112302, "energy": 71.673748, "activity_lines": [ 913.4, 893.145455, 850.972512, 836.064188 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }