{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a137b5ae-3d9a-47f4-b454-365a5cbfa194", "symbol": "LIFCO-B", "name": "Lifco AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 75.162, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.619, "architecture_energy": 57.794, "architecture_maturity": 16.604, "architecture_confidence": 76.564, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.28, "rotation_up": 64.16, "upward_expansion": 86.39, "deceleration": 46.96, "rotation_down": 17.04, "downward_expansion": 10.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 323.920003, 321.232729, 311.647594, 307.008764 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 330.200012, "trend_reference": 305.019551, "distance_from_trend": 0.082554, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 305.614826, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.080445, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.72212, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.038513, "excess_performance": -0.022981, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.082554, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029516, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.080445, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.143917, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.087221, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.169148, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.038513, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.881468, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1828092, "relative_activity": 0.840364, "balance": 2.881468, "dry_up": 0.855549, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046172, "annualized_volatility": 0.304712, "from_high_reference": -0.141795, "from_low_reference": 0.242189 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 305.019551, "fair_value_reference": 305.614826, "structural_low": 265.821101, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.008084, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.005284, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.06776, "worst_return": -0.105593, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.152017, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.09412, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.201985, "worst_return": -0.170936, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.226624, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.049386, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.242278, "worst_return": -0.204391, "sufficient": false }, { 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"stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.98613, "energy": 49.235795, "activity_lines": [ 320.106665, 316.010908, 306.516623, 304.254289 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 324.0, "volume": 1595672, "typical_volume": 2173263.15, "trend": 305.523208, "fair_value": 304.795735, "relative_strength": -9.135819, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.245121, "energy": 41.452433, "activity_lines": [ 321.239998, 318.319999, 308.870643, 305.416712 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 330.200012, "volume": 1828092, "typical_volume": 2175356.25, "trend": 305.019551, "fair_value": 305.614826, "relative_strength": -8.72212, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.618954, "energy": 57.794202, "activity_lines": [ 323.920003, 321.232729, 311.647594, 307.008764 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }