{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a145d7e3-507d-4b76-8059-3e8c19598459", "symbol": "300977", "name": "Shenzhen Ridge Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.253, "architecture_energy": 54.943, "architecture_maturity": 24.726, "architecture_confidence": 85.462, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.01, "rotation_up": 16.57, "upward_expansion": 8.57, "deceleration": 51.39, "rotation_down": 64.1, "downward_expansion": 81.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.984666, 15.340363, 17.040319, 17.876868 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.049999, "trend_reference": 18.953611, "distance_from_trend": -0.153196, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.847424, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.100711, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.698262, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.352661, "excess_performance": -0.360061, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.153196, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041196, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.100711, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.34609, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.176983, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129116, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.352661, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.740583, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7652853, "relative_activity": 0.875567, "balance": 0.740583, "dry_up": 1.023318, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114718, "annualized_volatility": 0.46327, "from_high_reference": -0.378067, "from_low_reference": 0.30594 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.953611, "fair_value_reference": 17.847424, "structural_low": 12.29, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.026185, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.001666, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.265921, "worst_return": -0.367791, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.051651, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.002546, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.166777, "worst_return": -0.260065, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.005406, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.148845, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.157773, "worst_return": -0.243866, "sufficient": false }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 15.267333, 16.488089, 18.053303, 18.67873 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.79, "volume": 11137614, "typical_volume": 9954939.7, "trend": 19.058192, "fair_value": 17.878317, "relative_strength": -27.821531, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.949426, "energy": 84.800569, "activity_lines": [ 14.6, 15.757273, 17.581131, 18.331433 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.95, "volume": 7792777, "typical_volume": 8908916.6, "trend": 18.987568, "fair_value": 17.860098, "relative_strength": -19.940278, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.324869, "energy": 76.582518, "activity_lines": [ 14.572, 15.383454, 17.246728, 18.066388 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.049999, "volume": 7652853, "typical_volume": 8740455.5, "trend": 18.953611, "fair_value": 17.847424, "relative_strength": -17.698262, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.253108, "energy": 54.942795, "activity_lines": [ 14.984666, 15.340363, 17.040319, 17.876868 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }