{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a14ae991-5155-4c6e-b1a3-1e4a13101f32", "symbol": "600222", "name": "Henan Taloph Pharmaceutical Stock Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.29, "architecture_energy": 12.635, "architecture_maturity": 27.571, "architecture_confidence": 93.579, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.67, "rotation_up": 31.25, "upward_expansion": 44.08, "deceleration": 74.36, "rotation_down": 30.13, "downward_expansion": 33.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.322, 7.382, 7.485524, 7.421527 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.82, "trend_reference": 7.285667, "distance_from_trend": 0.07334, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.887849, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.328159, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.477849, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.160237, "excess_performance": 0.203441, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.07334, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014244, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.328159, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031407, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.104778, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08384, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.160237, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.587271, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85920625, "relative_activity": 0.916217, "balance": 1.587271, "dry_up": 0.971499, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.125418, "annualized_volatility": 0.508472, "from_high_reference": -0.169896, "from_low_reference": 0.293099 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.285667, "fair_value_reference": 5.887849, "structural_low": 6.35, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.034755, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.002832, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.311688, "worst_return": -0.223094, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.053048, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.043719, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.215909, "worst_return": -0.045677, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.036981, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.034503, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.448052, "worst_return": -0.371111, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"energy": 16.712897, "activity_lines": [ 7.436, 7.607818, 7.548571, 7.426637 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.9, "volume": 91395136, "typical_volume": 95663365.45, "trend": 7.238746, "fair_value": 5.865336, "relative_strength": 0.877879, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 2.84842, "energy": 6.480767, "activity_lines": [ 7.262667, 7.458182, 7.495286, 7.404277 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.93, "volume": 55922844, "typical_volume": 93992704.45, "trend": 7.24388, "fair_value": 5.87339, "relative_strength": 0.736323, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.504259, "energy": 15.72007, "activity_lines": [ 7.155333, 7.329636, 7.447095, 7.384358 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.82, "volume": 85920625, "typical_volume": 93777608.7, "trend": 7.285667, "fair_value": 5.887849, "relative_strength": 10.477849, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.289659, "energy": 12.634596, "activity_lines": [ 7.322, 7.382, 7.485524, 7.421527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }