{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a150eeaf-ad53-4f11-aa41-6e7cb6786e0f", "symbol": "CHSS", "name": "World Chess PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -2.17, "architecture_energy": 16.61, "architecture_maturity": 23.7, "architecture_confidence": 60.765, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.03, "rotation_up": 41.7, "upward_expansion": 35.87, "deceleration": 41.81, "rotation_down": 15.01, "downward_expansion": 41.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.00345, 0.00324, 0.003055, 0.003279 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.0035, "trend_reference": 0.003837, "distance_from_trend": -0.087829, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.037592, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.906894, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -54.702846, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.176471, "excess_performance": -0.227706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.087829, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.291674, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.906894, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021057, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.547028, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218671, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.176471, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.133396, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7533000, "relative_activity": 2.896081, "balance": 0.133396, "dry_up": 1.093814, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.182857, "annualized_volatility": 1.006044, "from_high_reference": -0.86, "from_low_reference": 0.75 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.003837, "fair_value_reference": 0.037592, "structural_low": 0.002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.133333, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.133131, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.210526, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.315789, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.310304, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.315789, "worst_return": -0.315789, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.763158, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.809697, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.763158, "worst_return": -0.763158, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.589891, "energy": 16.200916, "activity_lines": [ 0.003367, 0.003137, 0.003021, 0.003308 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0035, "volume": 7533000, "typical_volume": 2601101.25, "trend": 0.003837, "fair_value": 0.037592, "relative_strength": -54.702846, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.170491, "energy": 16.609708, "activity_lines": [ 0.00345, 0.00324, 0.003055, 0.003279 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }