{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1539353-7664-4aa7-a23a-77f2a439245f", "symbol": "WT", "name": "WisdomTree Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.712, "architecture_energy": 67.103, "architecture_maturity": 24.43, "architecture_confidence": 84.83, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.99, "rotation_up": 68.0, "upward_expansion": 86.74, "deceleration": 46.46, "rotation_down": 13.52, "downward_expansion": 13.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.093333, 19.384545, 18.803568, 18.086904 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 21.25, "trend_reference": 17.271128, "distance_from_trend": 0.230377, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.10076, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.914283, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.54263, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.354667, "excess_performance": 0.229043, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.230377, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.15766, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.914283, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021227, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.245426, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.028268, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.354667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.924114, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20577636, "relative_activity": 1.319706, "balance": 0.924114, "dry_up": 0.864423, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087631, "annualized_volatility": 0.444067, "from_high_reference": -0.081875, "from_low_reference": 0.994618 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.271128, "fair_value_reference": 11.10076, "structural_low": 13.179713, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.011478, "positive_rate": 0.518519, "directional_follow_through": 0.518519, "median_excess_return": -0.010868, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.15445, "worst_return": -0.179105, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.056432, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.002036, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.298724, "worst_return": -0.224285, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.139001, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.010024, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.354667, "worst_return": -0.087547, "sufficient": true }, { 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"close": 19.45, "volume": 10734064, "typical_volume": 15099074.8, "trend": 16.77952, "fair_value": 10.92204, "relative_strength": 20.647726, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.352468, "energy": 49.699836, "activity_lines": [ 19.226, 18.788, 18.268788, 17.646202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 19.37, "volume": 11332730, "typical_volume": 15197299.45, "trend": 17.009604, "fair_value": 11.00612, "relative_strength": 18.222472, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.320792, "energy": 52.825515, "activity_lines": [ 19.418667, 18.918, 18.456496, 17.81333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.25, "volume": 20577636, "typical_volume": 15592596.6, "trend": 17.271128, "fair_value": 11.10076, "relative_strength": 24.54263, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.71196, "energy": 67.102819, "activity_lines": [ 20.093333, 19.384545, 18.803568, 18.086904 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }