{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1547b00-ecf5-4cf3-887f-4b8c05801bfc", "symbol": "EA", "name": "Electronic Arts Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 83.395, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 38.736, "architecture_energy": 73.029, "architecture_maturity": 12.519, "architecture_confidence": 56.744, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.89, "rotation_up": 72.33, "upward_expansion": 65.34, "deceleration": 24.01, "rotation_down": 16.06, "downward_expansion": 26.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 3580.929932, 3564.760853, 3549.452038, 3544.951355 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3580.929932, "trend_reference": 3557.828418, "distance_from_trend": 0.006493, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2923.031067, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.225074, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.549909, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.034163, "excess_performance": 0.020504, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.006493, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014864, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.225074, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046457, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.015499, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031364, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.034163, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.342466, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005112, "annualized_volatility": 0.12585, "from_high_reference": -0.036761, "from_low_reference": 0.151255 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3557.828418, "fair_value_reference": 2923.031067, "structural_low": 3446.050781, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.006596, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.020839, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.069678, "worst_return": -0.119875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.018473, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.026379, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.208595, "worst_return": -0.047817, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.002724, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.017605, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.396572, "worst_return": -0.053874, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 3548.557959, 3526.159841, 3530.111675, 3541.713591 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3580.929932, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.75, "trend": 3570.494629, "fair_value": 2895.962302, "relative_strength": -0.842144, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 21.817247, "energy": 48.012609, "activity_lines": [ 3567.410612, 3535.921263, 3535.785374, 3542.114444 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3580.929932, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.05, "trend": 3566.272559, "fair_value": 2904.038136, "relative_strength": -0.573642, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.163882, "energy": 54.56835, "activity_lines": [ 3578.20127, 3545.608572, 3540.817696, 3542.78769 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3580.929932, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 7.55, "trend": 3562.050488, "fair_value": 2913.497452, "relative_strength": -1.494703, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.084089, "energy": 76.015491, "activity_lines": [ 3580.929932, 3555.221769, 3545.373251, 3543.733327 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3580.929932, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 7.3, "trend": 3557.828418, "fair_value": 2923.031067, "relative_strength": -1.549909, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.735518, "energy": 73.028844, "activity_lines": [ 3580.929932, 3564.760853, 3549.452038, 3544.951355 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }