{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a15b536f-65ca-49ef-858b-52182e713f53", "symbol": "V3MB", "name": "Vanguard ESG Emerging Markets All Cap UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.603, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.238, "architecture_energy": 23.416, "architecture_maturity": 64.222, "architecture_confidence": 82.911, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.9, "rotation_up": 26.11, "upward_expansion": 56.35, "deceleration": 88.21, "rotation_down": 35.67, "downward_expansion": 20.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.936667, 6.992691, 6.97754, 6.874378 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.054, "trend_reference": 6.749117, "distance_from_trend": 0.045174, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.495114, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.283686, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 0.650135, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.081487, "excess_performance": 0.030252, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045174, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042227, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.283686, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041854, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006501, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080137, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.081487, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.843109, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 164300, "relative_activity": 0.938483, "balance": 0.843109, "dry_up": 0.908291, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.034072, "annualized_volatility": 0.178124, "from_high_reference": -0.040272, "from_low_reference": 0.241901 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.749117, "fair_value_reference": 5.495114, "structural_low": 5.992, "invalidation": "A 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7.022233, 7.047564, 6.942921, 6.830453 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.8865, "volume": 130317, "typical_volume": 174392.2, "trend": 6.707033, "fair_value": 5.464548, "relative_strength": -0.148509, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.864185, "energy": 19.060004, "activity_lines": [ 6.956033, 7.019627, 6.952571, 6.843613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.857, "volume": 186570, "typical_volume": 173469.85, "trend": 6.7271, "fair_value": 5.478822, "relative_strength": -1.809518, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.980265, "energy": 21.0554, "activity_lines": [ 6.9069, 6.987427, 6.956945, 6.853288 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.054, "volume": 164300, "typical_volume": 175069.75, "trend": 6.749117, "fair_value": 5.495114, "relative_strength": 0.650135, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.238118, "energy": 23.416303, "activity_lines": [ 6.936667, 6.992691, 6.97754, 6.874378 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }