{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a17a8c73-98f5-463f-8877-54b3f1b26286",
    "symbol": "ALMAR",
    "name": "Mare Nostrum SA",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 93.223,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -12.223,
    "architecture_energy": 15.511,
    "architecture_maturity": 10.779,
    "architecture_confidence": 55.041,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.37,
        "rotation_up": 21.43,
        "upward_expansion": 25.03,
        "deceleration": 58.44,
        "rotation_down": 42.67,
        "downward_expansion": 32.03
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.5724,
        0.575345,
        0.594076,
        0.590282
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 0.58,
    "trend_reference": 0.5857,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.009732,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.573135,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.011979,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 3.110877,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.074074,
    "excess_performance": 0.020763,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009732,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156824,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011979,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026746,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031109,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.104281,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074074,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.789271,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 23446,
      "relative_activity": 0.258003,
      "balance": 2.789271,
      "dry_up": 0.216217,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.086472,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.56202,
      "from_high_reference": -0.447619,
      "from_low_reference": 1.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.5857,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.573135,
      "structural_low": 0.45,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": -0.045902,
        "positive_rate": 0.294118,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.294118,
        "median_excess_return": -0.071536,
        "regime_survival": 0.529412,
        "best_return": 0.575563,
        "worst_return": -0.438017,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.059992,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.086389,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.141818,
        "worst_return": -0.518828,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.091195,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.152414,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.729167,
        "worst_return": -0.621339,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.134651,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.141717,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.354167,
        "worst_return": -0.788703,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-27",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.13494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.087324,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.163934,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.097297,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.575563,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.132492,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.056604,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.042644,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.236111,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.134545,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.085714,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.074074,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 0.9,
        "volume": 805,
        "typical_volume": 12704.2,
        "trend": 1.691167,
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        "relative_strength": -58.937178,
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        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 0.535267,
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        "relative_strength": -1.708053,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.137974,
        "energy": 12.399208,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 96083.15,
        "trend": 0.543133,
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        "relative_strength": 0.333516,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 5094,
        "typical_volume": 92596.8,
        "trend": 0.551133,
        "fair_value": 0.579724,
        "relative_strength": -3.534746,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -0.311068,
        "energy": 12.952365,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.570933,
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          0.601571,
          0.588002
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.56,
        "volume": 7779,
        "typical_volume": 90452.6,
        "trend": 0.5598,
        "fair_value": 0.577737,
        "relative_strength": 1.733853,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.891771,
        "energy": 21.167069,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.5612,
          0.587673,
          0.598619,
          0.588574
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.582,
        "volume": 18674,
        "typical_volume": 89980.0,
        "trend": 0.568367,
        "fair_value": 0.576564,
        "relative_strength": 5.95945,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.170654,
        "energy": 23.656681,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.565467,
          0.583382,
          0.597714,
          0.590006
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.57,
        "volume": 28696,
        "typical_volume": 90203.6,
        "trend": 0.577367,
        "fair_value": 0.574801,
        "relative_strength": 3.006052,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -16.637356,
        "energy": 31.095019,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.5676,
          0.577964,
          0.595514,
          0.590112
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.58,
        "volume": 23446,
        "typical_volume": 90874.95,
        "trend": 0.5857,
        "fair_value": 0.573135,
        "relative_strength": 3.110877,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -12.222907,
        "energy": 15.510671,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.5724,
          0.575345,
          0.594076,
          0.590282
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}