{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1845630-c4f0-4770-8b7c-dd752c0fb404", "symbol": "LINK", "name": "Interlink Electronics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.335, "architecture_energy": 35.596, "architecture_maturity": 31.185, "architecture_confidence": 63.006, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.11, "rotation_up": 50.78, "upward_expansion": 74.26, "deceleration": 60.66, "rotation_down": 18.89, "downward_expansion": 3.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.673, 4.538182, 4.357333, 4.087925 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 5.1, "trend_reference": 3.810667, "distance_from_trend": 0.338348, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.204478, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212992, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.893278, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.603774, "excess_performance": 0.41632, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.338348, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050011, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.212992, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.366641, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.008933, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.32193, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.603774, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.242504, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 102638, "relative_activity": 0.269806, "balance": 0.242504, "dry_up": 0.234131, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.191825, "annualized_volatility": 0.728076, "from_high_reference": -0.495113, "from_low_reference": 0.917293 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.810667, "fair_value_reference": 4.204478, "structural_low": 2.66, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.010345, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.036926, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.215733, "worst_return": -0.425397, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.439683, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.429505, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.032621, "worst_return": -0.469456, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.476774, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.510351, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.503448, "worst_return": -0.501587, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004429, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.451969, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.122707, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.425397, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.121884, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 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"activity_lines": [ 4.362, 4.449727, 4.124595, 3.905978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.86, "volume": 113270, "typical_volume": 379910.85, "trend": 3.767, "fair_value": 4.197876, "relative_strength": -0.959319, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.203672, "energy": 32.108569, "activity_lines": [ 4.534333, 4.521273, 4.224929, 3.978677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.13, "volume": 49356, "typical_volume": 379490.9, "trend": 3.769667, "fair_value": 4.198139, "relative_strength": -15.733197, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.827119, "energy": 25.499469, "activity_lines": [ 4.446, 4.435909, 4.247262, 4.002097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.1, "volume": 102638, "typical_volume": 380413.45, "trend": 3.810667, "fair_value": 4.204478, "relative_strength": -0.893278, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.335468, "energy": 35.596021, "activity_lines": [ 4.673, 4.538182, 4.357333, 4.087925 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }