{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1875753-66a3-44cb-850f-453d93fb31e7", "symbol": "WEAV", "name": "Weave Communications Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.728, "architecture_energy": 16.817, "architecture_maturity": 31.711, "architecture_confidence": 40.487, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.86, "rotation_up": 35.54, "upward_expansion": 63.06, "deceleration": 62.5, "rotation_down": 24.18, "downward_expansion": 15.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.167333, 6.222182, 5.983714, 5.789011 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 5.29, "trend_reference": 5.712, "distance_from_trend": -0.07388, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.415513, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.438161, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.976769, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.1536, "excess_performance": -0.279225, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.07388, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.032028, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.438161, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050395, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.249768, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006898, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1536, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.160908, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7156994, "relative_activity": 1.198833, "balance": 1.160908, "dry_up": 0.980666, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.174639, "annualized_volatility": 0.723569, "from_high_reference": -0.347719, "from_low_reference": 0.247642 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.712, "fair_value_reference": 9.415513, "structural_low": 4.24, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.115955, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.090498, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.163286, "worst_return": -0.16875, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.276434, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.184309, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.27789, "worst_return": 0.274977, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.09217, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.023369, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.307058, "worst_return": -0.122718, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"Extended", "return": -0.230934, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.218968, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-02-20", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.02583, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.21366, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.268326, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 10.51, "volume": 5252976, "typical_volume": 3249314.55, "trend": 7.146, "fair_value": 7.145591, "relative_strength": 56.724845, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", 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"balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 44.137053, "energy": 50.661449, "activity_lines": [ 6.31, 6.028364, 5.699762, 5.659183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.23, "volume": 6583201, "typical_volume": 6382020.0, "trend": 5.828667, "fair_value": 9.505449, "relative_strength": 4.154417, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.602147, "energy": 66.750882, "activity_lines": [ 6.71, 6.274, 5.869857, 5.750237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.17, "volume": 5340073, "typical_volume": 6211721.4, "trend": 5.795667, "fair_value": 9.470513, "relative_strength": -9.861305, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.593927, "energy": 58.469768, "activity_lines": [ 6.642667, 6.303455, 5.928571, 5.772258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.54, "volume": 4337907, "typical_volume": 5952827.85, "trend": 5.774667, "fair_value": 9.448397, "relative_strength": -5.02808, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.959571, "energy": 64.152695, "activity_lines": [ 6.634, 6.384, 6.019619, 5.82028 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.29, "volume": 7156994, "typical_volume": 5969969.25, "trend": 5.712, "fair_value": 9.415513, "relative_strength": -24.976769, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.728441, "energy": 16.817145, "activity_lines": [ 6.167333, 6.222182, 5.983714, 5.789011 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }