{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a18af6fd-9a8b-4d0b-accf-deb8c35f6a7e", "symbol": "LDAP", "name": "L&G APAC ex-Japan Quality Dividends Equal Weight ETF USD Dis", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 84.779, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.894, "architecture_energy": 86.32, "architecture_maturity": 37.741, "architecture_confidence": 65.426, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.41, "rotation_up": 79.41, "upward_expansion": 92.08, "deceleration": 44.8, "rotation_down": 9.31, "downward_expansion": 18.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.346133, 11.188817, 11.063088, 10.969288 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.59, "trend_reference": 10.814003, "distance_from_trend": 0.071759, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8.508254, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.362207, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.528108, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.107309, "excess_performance": -0.063583, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.071759, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051333, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.362207, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014618, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025281, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033035, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107309, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.332115, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 50063, "relative_activity": 4.201167, "balance": 1.332115, "dry_up": 3.475175, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019509, "annualized_volatility": 0.156957, "from_high_reference": -0.005662, "from_low_reference": 0.292438 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.814003, "fair_value_reference": 8.508254, "structural_low": 10.375476, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.005964, "positive_rate": 0.592593, "directional_follow_through": 0.592593, "median_excess_return": -0.008001, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.142515, "worst_return": -0.070347, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.040522, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.020538, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.090771, "worst_return": -0.067531, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.07849, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.027298, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.14448, "worst_return": -0.089364, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 10.749723, "fair_value": 8.476713, "relative_strength": -3.20832, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.316977, "energy": 70.92012, "activity_lines": [ 11.190133, 11.087839, 10.997148, 10.915077 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.59, "volume": 50063, "typical_volume": 11916.45, "trend": 10.814003, "fair_value": 8.508254, "relative_strength": -2.528108, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.893541, "energy": 86.320085, "activity_lines": [ 11.346133, 11.188817, 11.063088, 10.969288 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }