{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a18f16ca-2263-4978-8b17-67030b78e6fe", "symbol": "300665", "name": "Zhuzhou Feilu High-Tech Materials Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 55.519, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -6.965, "architecture_energy": 19.45, "architecture_maturity": 25.684, "architecture_confidence": 72.199, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.37, "rotation_up": 17.57, "upward_expansion": 16.69, "deceleration": 67.76, "rotation_down": 55.24, "downward_expansion": 39.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.66, 9.082364, 9.245952, 9.025032 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 9.55, "trend_reference": 8.857667, "distance_from_trend": 0.078162, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.765641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229776, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.637124, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.090183, "excess_performance": 0.082783, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.078162, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006765, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.229776, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048306, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.006371, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.173354, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.090183, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.713502, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 61083790, "relative_activity": 1.293614, "balance": 0.713502, "dry_up": 1.3093, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.142006, "annualized_volatility": 0.521333, "from_high_reference": -0.256809, "from_low_reference": 0.392128 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.857667, "fair_value_reference": 7.765641, "structural_low": 6.86, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.010962, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.47619, "median_excess_return": 0.018698, "regime_survival": 0.47619, "best_return": 0.183206, "worst_return": -0.236745, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.014616, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.016965, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.428795, "worst_return": -0.232456, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.026316, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.053129, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.536776, "worst_return": -0.25944, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 9.018, "fair_value": 7.768439, "relative_strength": -9.073395, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.930887, "energy": 26.848123, "activity_lines": [ 9.938, 10.027636, 9.414905, 9.154086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.2, "volume": 69911571, "typical_volume": 43258197.55, "trend": 8.978333, "fair_value": 7.765835, "relative_strength": -12.675437, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.784086, "energy": 13.567908, "activity_lines": [ 9.286, 9.708, 9.347381, 9.101312 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.81, "volume": 71513525, "typical_volume": 44840233.95, "trend": 8.919333, "fair_value": 7.760923, "relative_strength": -16.600525, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.041836, "energy": 23.89691, "activity_lines": [ 8.692667, 9.332727, 9.244333, 9.025935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.22, "volume": 44789112, "typical_volume": 45656436.55, "trend": 8.864667, "fair_value": 7.758447, "relative_strength": -10.325659, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.360023, "energy": 28.47632, "activity_lines": [ 8.368667, 9.072727, 9.182143, 8.980817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.55, "volume": 61083790, "typical_volume": 47219489.2, "trend": 8.857667, "fair_value": 7.765641, "relative_strength": -0.637124, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -6.964902, "energy": 19.45007, "activity_lines": [ 8.66, 9.082364, 9.245952, 9.025032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }