{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a19eb03f-70a0-4112-9bde-522abfb54bf2", "symbol": "TRT", "name": "Transense Technologies plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.611, "architecture_energy": 67.264, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.79, "rotation_up": 29.32, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 59.84, "rotation_down": 59.0, "downward_expansion": 87.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.489, 0.496273, 0.533095, 0.567887 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.485, "trend_reference": 0.640833, "distance_from_trend": -0.243173, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.170192, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.585538, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -50.857191, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.265152, "excess_performance": -0.316387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.243173, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.280636, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.585538, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10291, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.508572, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013864, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.265152, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.358588, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 64369, "relative_activity": 0.588918, "balance": 0.358588, "dry_up": 1.225116, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062403, "annualized_volatility": 0.343964, "from_high_reference": -0.660245, "from_low_reference": 0.026455 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.640833, "fair_value_reference": 1.170192, "structural_low": 0.4725, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.003571, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.010367, "regime_survival": 0.807692, "best_return": 0.417166, "worst_return": -0.176471, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.026465, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016341, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.534392, "worst_return": -0.274627, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.124753, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.117506, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.640212, "worst_return": -0.465665, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -78.409851, "energy": 86.296068, "activity_lines": [ 0.499667, 0.533909, 0.571298, 0.624995 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.485, "volume": 21500, "typical_volume": 124397.05, "trend": 0.726167, "fair_value": 1.177724, "relative_strength": -52.732495, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.749897, "energy": 84.275184, "activity_lines": [ 0.489667, 0.520091, 0.559821, 0.607575 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.505, "volume": 115901, "typical_volume": 116334.8, "trend": 0.696833, "fair_value": 1.175353, "relative_strength": -50.294933, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.118928, "energy": 78.9347, "activity_lines": [ 0.491333, 0.512364, 0.551238, 0.593306 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.485, "volume": 333853, "typical_volume": 116581.0, "trend": 0.667167, "fair_value": 1.172853, "relative_strength": -51.805698, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.569092, "energy": 68.278095, "activity_lines": [ 0.490333, 0.503182, 0.541655, 0.57964 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.485, "volume": 64369, "typical_volume": 109300.45, "trend": 0.640833, "fair_value": 1.170192, "relative_strength": -50.857191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.611397, "energy": 67.264006, "activity_lines": [ 0.489, 0.496273, 0.533095, 0.567887 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }