{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1ac30fd-e79c-4cb3-8f71-bde1320d21d7", "symbol": "UDOW", "name": "PROSHARES TRUST ULTRAPRO DOW30", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.289, "architecture_energy": 56.256, "architecture_maturity": 51.98, "architecture_confidence": 85.884, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.3, "rotation_up": 58.35, "upward_expansion": 81.34, "deceleration": 63.63, "rotation_down": 23.44, "downward_expansion": 8.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 71.682, 70.584915, 67.475942, 64.61048 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 76.14, "trend_reference": 62.096416, "distance_from_trend": 0.226158, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.504187, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.637272, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 15.622994, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.182707, "excess_performance": 0.057082, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.226158, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067802, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.637272, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.237379, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.15623, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.138353, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.182707, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.578068, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8909618, "relative_activity": 0.645011, "balance": 1.578068, "dry_up": 0.592903, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063284, "annualized_volatility": 0.349114, "from_high_reference": -0.039387, "from_low_reference": 0.670418 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 62.096416, "fair_value_reference": 46.504187, "structural_low": 46.25, "invalidation": 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66.767387, 62.730933, 61.383059 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 71.26, "volume": 8485993, "typical_volume": 17053994.5, "trend": 60.640822, "fair_value": 45.475694, "relative_strength": 12.810171, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.226073, "energy": 78.540301, "activity_lines": [ 70.021772, 67.91786, 63.811459, 62.093631 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 69.18, "volume": 7015307, "typical_volume": 16380479.35, "trend": 61.008925, "fair_value": 45.721668, "relative_strength": 10.804447, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.264382, "energy": 73.687328, "activity_lines": [ 70.085612, 68.490618, 64.651952, 62.644546 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 68.17, "volume": 6252947, "typical_volume": 15354353.85, "trend": 61.275937, "fair_value": 45.957852, "relative_strength": 9.467977, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.620644, "energy": 61.415785, "activity_lines": [ 69.600667, 68.722195, 65.351877, 63.106551 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 70.1, "volume": 10581499, "typical_volume": 14573256.45, "trend": 61.653151, "fair_value": 46.213381, "relative_strength": 10.809517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.508518, "energy": 48.164532, "activity_lines": [ 69.702667, 69.159879, 66.17078, 63.675845 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 76.14, "volume": 8909618, "typical_volume": 13813118.55, "trend": 62.096416, "fair_value": 46.504187, "relative_strength": 15.622994, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.28945, "energy": 56.256085, "activity_lines": [ 71.682, 70.584915, 67.475942, 64.61048 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }