{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a1b35697-34e3-4742-a82e-e9539aaa1c8f",
    "symbol": "BIOEX",
    "name": "Bioextrax AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -11.335,
    "architecture_energy": 11.073,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.947,
    "architecture_confidence": 53.216,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.2,
        "rotation_up": 32.33,
        "upward_expansion": 14.82,
        "deceleration": 45.0,
        "rotation_down": 39.4,
        "downward_expansion": 44.82
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        2.553333,
        2.569455,
        2.57881,
        2.604559
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 2.62,
    "trend_reference": 2.589333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.011843,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 2.958541,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.114428,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.888421,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.023438,
    "excess_performance": -0.038057,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.011843,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060809,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.114428,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062472,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118884,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038658,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023438,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.595989,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 421944,
      "relative_activity": 1.068087,
      "balance": 1.595989,
      "dry_up": 1.424378,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.126541,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.418154,
      "from_high_reference": -0.345,
      "from_low_reference": 0.6375
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 2.589333,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.958541,
      "structural_low": 2.18,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.023102,
        "positive_rate": 0.210526,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.210526,
        "median_excess_return": -0.040075,
        "regime_survival": 0.631579,
        "best_return": 0.3475,
        "worst_return": -0.450777,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.102113,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.075405,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.611827,
        "worst_return": -0.544236,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.246951,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.209927,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.309381,
        "worst_return": -0.627078,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.270262,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.440138,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": -0.013972,
        "worst_return": -0.968956,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-05-31",
        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.29595,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.104167,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-07-19",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.12426,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.108808,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.19209,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.006452,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039216,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": 0.041009,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.150685,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.358951,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.242718,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "return": -0.064286,
        "active": true
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    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 3.99,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 10.854299,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 3.032516,
        "relative_strength": -14.40621,
        "stage": 1,
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        "energy": 10.8094,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 2053141,
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        "trend": 2.548,
        "fair_value": 3.015657,
        "relative_strength": -7.463266,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.873531,
        "energy": 17.374361,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.643333,
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          2.613571,
          2.613054
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 2.54,
        "volume": 678991,
        "typical_volume": 358494.65,
        "trend": 2.566667,
        "fair_value": 2.999759,
        "relative_strength": -13.522103,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.28528,
        "energy": 9.190792,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.626,
          2.588727,
          2.603048,
          2.612538
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 2.54,
        "volume": 416847,
        "typical_volume": 359714.7,
        "trend": 2.572,
        "fair_value": 2.984022,
        "relative_strength": -13.758953,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 16.011356,
        "energy": 8.894453,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.601333,
          2.582545,
          2.594714,
          2.610817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 2.43,
        "volume": 733000,
        "typical_volume": 385645.3,
        "trend": 2.575,
        "fair_value": 2.969278,
        "relative_strength": -17.709184,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -20.023779,
        "energy": 11.69556,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.542667,
          2.556545,
          2.576857,
          2.601656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 2.62,
        "volume": 421944,
        "typical_volume": 395046.5,
        "trend": 2.589333,
        "fair_value": 2.958541,
        "relative_strength": -11.888421,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -11.335309,
        "energy": 11.073194,
        "activity_lines": [
          2.553333,
          2.569455,
          2.57881,
          2.604559
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}