{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1b6fd10-cd4c-40b4-9685-df761ba9753c", "symbol": "600215", "name": "Paslin Digital Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.28, "architecture_energy": 38.784, "architecture_maturity": 55.638, "architecture_confidence": 86.26, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.72, "rotation_up": 20.96, "upward_expansion": 4.56, "deceleration": 56.67, "rotation_down": 49.77, "downward_expansion": 75.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.932, 5.962364, 6.218619, 6.438366 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 6.3, "trend_reference": 6.805667, "distance_from_trend": -0.074301, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.638988, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.175283, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.80139, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.189189, "excess_performance": -0.145985, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.074301, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052531, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.175283, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096274, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098014, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025794, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.189189, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.658298, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35069882, "relative_activity": 0.856658, "balance": 0.658298, "dry_up": 1.160836, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096093, "annualized_volatility": 0.385471, "from_high_reference": -0.315217, "from_low_reference": 0.240157 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.805667, "fair_value_reference": 7.638988, "structural_low": 5.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.019767, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.020137, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.279339, "worst_return": -0.12989, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.001756, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.039965, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.406593, "worst_return": -0.231262, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.017134, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.086609, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.381426, "worst_return": -0.139068, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"2026-07-24", "close": 5.33, "volume": 51820186, "typical_volume": 40127752.1, "trend": 6.87, "fair_value": 7.668735, "relative_strength": -22.002547, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.024804, "energy": 60.448412, "activity_lines": [ 5.699333, 5.937818, 6.271714, 6.52572 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.05, "volume": 47792935, "typical_volume": 40633408.25, "trend": 6.834, "fair_value": 7.653565, "relative_strength": -11.384247, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.985286, "energy": 46.848594, "activity_lines": [ 5.784, 5.918545, 6.230524, 6.472817 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.3, "volume": 35069882, "typical_volume": 40938000.9, "trend": 6.805667, "fair_value": 7.638988, "relative_strength": -9.80139, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.27958, "energy": 38.784295, "activity_lines": [ 5.932, 5.962364, 6.218619, 6.438366 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }