{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1ba0381-a37a-4424-883f-efb77815bd3f", "symbol": "THY", "name": "NORTHERN LIGHTS FUND TRUST TOEWS AGILITY SHARES DYNAMIC TACTL INCM", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 50.426, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.692, "architecture_energy": 59.334, "architecture_maturity": 2.478, "architecture_confidence": 91.531, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.0, "rotation_up": 16.19, "upward_expansion": 18.11, "deceleration": 31.88, "rotation_down": 62.01, "downward_expansion": 84.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.656396, 21.696968, 21.737826, 21.752289 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 21.64, "trend_reference": 21.770069, "distance_from_trend": -0.005975, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.705015, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.045157, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.313744, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.008833, "excess_performance": -0.134458, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.005975, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001547, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.045157, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025867, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.113137, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015358, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.008833, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.702454, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24471, "relative_activity": 0.465485, "balance": 0.702454, "dry_up": 0.609476, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005418, "annualized_volatility": 0.025612, "from_high_reference": -0.108642, "from_low_reference": 0.103431 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.770069, "fair_value_reference": 20.705015, "structural_low": 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"relative_strength": -8.035576, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.015837, "energy": 2.7524, "activity_lines": [ 21.773624, 21.76141, 21.779536, 21.781623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.625, "volume": 46131, "typical_volume": 57070.05, "trend": 21.77679, "fair_value": 20.670469, "relative_strength": -7.908984, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.667737, "energy": 31.240581, "activity_lines": [ 21.72594, 21.737951, 21.765389, 21.771728 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.61, "volume": 40775, "typical_volume": 56020.05, "trend": 21.77452, "fair_value": 20.687708, "relative_strength": -8.656196, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.403568, "energy": 55.638841, "activity_lines": [ 21.681823, 21.713862, 21.750043, 21.760968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.64, "volume": 24471, "typical_volume": 52570.95, "trend": 21.770069, "fair_value": 20.705015, "relative_strength": -11.313744, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.69185, "energy": 59.333971, "activity_lines": [ 21.656396, 21.696968, 21.737826, 21.752289 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }