{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1c3187a-d29d-464a-889b-5b2f3f219df3", "symbol": "CMDY", "name": "ISHARES US ETF TRUST BLOOMBERG ROL SELECT COMDTY STRATEGY ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 52.083, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.466, "architecture_energy": 33.304, "architecture_maturity": 42.257, "architecture_confidence": 51.345, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.", "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.99, "rotation_up": 65.4, "upward_expansion": 70.1, "deceleration": 62.22, "rotation_down": 9.35, "downward_expansion": 11.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.964, 58.046545, 58.627048, 58.503548 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 59.02, "trend_reference": 57.606833, "distance_from_trend": 0.024531, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 45.881837, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.286348, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -0.947724, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.121414, "excess_performance": -0.004211, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.024531, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055606, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair 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3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.41359, "energy": 27.201986, "activity_lines": [ 56.887333, 57.433636, 58.563881, 58.060914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 59.83, "volume": 207363, "typical_volume": 343657.8, "trend": 56.962833, "fair_value": 45.6608, "relative_strength": 5.420957, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.143733, "energy": 16.477172, "activity_lines": [ 57.989333, 57.697818, 58.645524, 58.266903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.91, "volume": 245456, "typical_volume": 331695.05, "trend": 57.299167, "fair_value": 45.770707, "relative_strength": 2.497596, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.474186, "energy": 27.025918, "activity_lines": [ 58.586667, 57.839455, 58.630286, 58.392527 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.02, "volume": 196337, "typical_volume": 325743.05, "trend": 57.606833, "fair_value": 45.881837, "relative_strength": -0.947724, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.465633, "energy": 33.303579, "activity_lines": [ 58.964, 58.046545, 58.627048, 58.503548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }