{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1c653df-b90f-4698-9d96-c3c5a4bbae6d", "symbol": "300212", "name": "Beijing E-Hualu Information Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.306, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.134, "architecture_energy": 44.05, "architecture_maturity": 21.737, "architecture_confidence": 80.521, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.55, "rotation_up": 12.51, "upward_expansion": 5.92, "deceleration": 45.51, "rotation_down": 57.48, "downward_expansion": 74.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.032, 8.503273, 8.57419, 9.070258 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 8.11, "trend_reference": 10.420333, "distance_from_trend": -0.221714, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.213846, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.617703, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -47.881759, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.476774, "excess_performance": -0.484174, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.221714, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.229569, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.617703, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115895, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.478818, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.248345, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.476774, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.599495, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 72655625, "relative_activity": 0.587714, "balance": 1.599495, "dry_up": 0.610873, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.192355, "annualized_volatility": 0.917377, "from_high_reference": -0.688077, "from_low_reference": 0.358459 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.420333, "fair_value_reference": 21.213846, "structural_low": 5.97, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.024959, "positive_rate": 0.366667, "directional_follow_through": 0.633333, "median_excess_return": -0.033315, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.736334, "worst_return": -0.366497, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.124252, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.173662, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.965754, "worst_return": -0.405093, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.193214, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.334447, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.184049, "worst_return": -0.607833, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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33.445691, "activity_lines": [ 8.786, 9.206, 8.859571, 9.673978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.35, "volume": 87176713, "typical_volume": 129814488.45, "trend": 11.03, "fair_value": 21.511218, "relative_strength": -53.451153, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.349458, "energy": 44.401137, "activity_lines": [ 8.192667, 8.889455, 8.692714, 9.417462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.27, "volume": 75419680, "typical_volume": 127825443.6, "trend": 10.731667, "fair_value": 21.360256, "relative_strength": -45.490853, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.501275, "energy": 38.595553, "activity_lines": [ 8.108, 8.716, 8.633571, 9.239398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.11, "volume": 72655625, "typical_volume": 123624162.9, "trend": 10.420333, "fair_value": 21.213846, "relative_strength": -47.881759, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.134243, "energy": 44.050288, "activity_lines": [ 8.032, 8.503273, 8.57419, 9.070258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }