{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1d112fa-81d1-4cfd-aa6b-62e05bf427f8", "symbol": "6205", "name": "Chant Sincere Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-21", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 51.236, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.148, "architecture_energy": 43.553, "architecture_maturity": 11.586, "architecture_confidence": 65.638, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.33, "rotation_up": 16.57, "upward_expansion": 23.3, "deceleration": 52.33, "rotation_down": 58.69, "downward_expansion": 48.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.053334, 62.394343, 68.737758, 68.157848 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 60.700001, "trend_reference": 65.256531, "distance_from_trend": -0.069825, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 61.033006, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.005456, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -17.070721, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.272626, "excess_performance": -0.073106, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069825, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120439, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.005456, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.385847, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.170707, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.31643, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.272626, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.325932, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 926156, "relative_activity": 0.061916, "balance": 1.325932, "dry_up": 0.144526, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.15019, "annualized_volatility": 0.640101, "from_high_reference": -0.408138, "from_low_reference": 0.680696 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.256531, "fair_value_reference": 61.033006, "structural_low": 47.255019, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.0674, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.001761, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.260805, "worst_return": -0.27197, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.031311, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.095638, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.193741, "worst_return": -0.281864, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.015656, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.177147, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.043005, "worst_return": -0.347791, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"energy": 50.278527, "activity_lines": [ 60.893334, 67.426003, 71.611336, 68.962349 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 59.900002, "volume": 2337613, "typical_volume": 15642958.75, "trend": 65.023421, "fair_value": 60.95682, "relative_strength": -17.093146, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.054767, "energy": 55.434532, "activity_lines": [ 59.360001, 65.253181, 70.575133, 68.631879 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 62.099998, "volume": 2068795, "typical_volume": 15093595.2, "trend": 65.124053, "fair_value": 60.994938, "relative_strength": -16.672676, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -24.208395, "energy": 52.963914, "activity_lines": [ 59.693333, 63.783089, 69.739413, 68.443271 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-21", "close": 60.700001, "volume": 926156, "typical_volume": 14958278.9, "trend": 65.256531, "fair_value": 61.033006, "relative_strength": -17.070721, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.14773, "energy": 43.552755, "activity_lines": [ 60.053334, 62.394343, 68.737758, 68.157848 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }