{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1d8fcbf-2dd2-41d6-ad14-15c0b7890ff6", "symbol": "300110", "name": "Huaren Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.017, "architecture_energy": 31.274, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 80.31, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.68, "rotation_up": 27.06, "upward_expansion": 16.81, "deceleration": 46.62, "rotation_down": 30.54, "downward_expansion": 62.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.691333, 2.664182, 2.75681, 2.866968 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 2.75, "trend_reference": 3.007, "distance_from_trend": -0.085467, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.424467, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.196955, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.346521, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.171687, "excess_performance": -0.179087, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.085467, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072677, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.196955, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070787, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.163465, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08212, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.171687, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.012994, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 118062579, "relative_activity": 1.037427, "balance": 1.012994, "dry_up": 1.168309, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063776, "annualized_volatility": 0.268054, "from_high_reference": -0.264706, "from_low_reference": 0.11336 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.007, "fair_value_reference": 3.424467, "structural_low": 2.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.015221, "positive_rate": 0.566667, "directional_follow_through": 0.433333, "median_excess_return": 0.000976, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.442708, "worst_return": -0.142473, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.025174, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.048816, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.525793, "worst_return": -0.141956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.065421, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.123562, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.246551, "worst_return": -0.168196, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"volume": 139052213, "typical_volume": 112755070.0, "trend": 3.038, "fair_value": 3.440654, "relative_strength": -19.921997, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.098051, "energy": 49.07758, "activity_lines": [ 2.643333, 2.650364, 2.793905, 2.907505 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.68, "volume": 109045443, "typical_volume": 113447375.15, "trend": 3.020333, "fair_value": 3.432368, "relative_strength": -15.081863, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.176005, "energy": 37.61375, "activity_lines": [ 2.662667, 2.648909, 2.770524, 2.884409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.75, "volume": 118062579, "typical_volume": 113803303.15, "trend": 3.007, "fair_value": 3.424467, "relative_strength": -16.346521, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.01703, "energy": 31.273902, "activity_lines": [ 2.691333, 2.664182, 2.75681, 2.866968 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }