{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a1ee6c00-e220-4544-a2a0-4cf23357f2d4",
    "symbol": "CNT",
    "name": "Century Global Commodities Corporation",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 69.159,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 34.505,
    "architecture_energy": 16.383,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.937,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.066,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 57.93,
        "rotation_up": 29.84,
        "upward_expansion": 60.63,
        "deceleration": 88.31,
        "rotation_down": 26.61,
        "downward_expansion": 15.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.056,
        0.056727,
        0.050571,
        0.047699
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.05,
    "trend_reference": 0.045333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.102941,
    "trend_direction": "Stable",
    "fair_value": 0.04141,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.20743,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.865096,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.25,
    "excess_performance": 0.129579,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102941,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.20743,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.278859,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068651,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.220021,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.25,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.136688,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 76000,
      "relative_activity": 0.390575,
      "balance": 1.136688,
      "dry_up": 2.204949,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.4,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.926368,
      "from_high_reference": -0.722222,
      "from_low_reference": 0.666667
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.045333,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.04141,
      "structural_low": 0.03,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.272727,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.272727,
        "median_excess_return": -0.04654,
        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.4,
        "worst_return": -0.333333,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.333333,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.142857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.456771,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.5,
        "worst_return": -0.6,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.5,
        "positive_rate": 0.166667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.166667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.495168,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.666667,
        "worst_return": -0.7,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.647059,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.58609,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 1.0,
        "worst_return": -0.7,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.25,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.5,
        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.333333,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.581425,
        "energy": 65.971244,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.04,
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          0.040714,
          0.042817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 0.04,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 55700.0,
        "trend": 0.045667,
        "fair_value": 0.042372,
        "relative_strength": -28.742571,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.441307,
        "energy": 61.405403,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.04,
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          0.040476,
          0.042452
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 0.04,
        "volume": 198500,
        "typical_volume": 59675.0,
        "trend": 0.045333,
        "fair_value": 0.042051,
        "relative_strength": -29.036152,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.959926,
        "energy": 49.302844,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.04,
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          0.040286,
          0.042086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 0.04,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 58665.0,
        "trend": 0.044667,
        "fair_value": 0.041731,
        "relative_strength": -27.348071,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.258805,
        "energy": 76.179785,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.04,
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          0.040143,
          0.041742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 0.03,
        "volume": 11000,
        "typical_volume": 50690.0,
        "trend": 0.043667,
        "fair_value": 0.041346,
        "relative_strength": -45.657525,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -92.283689,
        "energy": 95.048325,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.036667,
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          0.040796
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 50290.0,
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        "relative_strength": -26.606741,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 52.321248,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.037333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 40985.0,
        "trend": 0.042667,
        "fair_value": 0.040897,
        "relative_strength": -25.616473,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -55.379264,
        "energy": 46.050553,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.038,
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          0.039143,
          0.040366
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.04,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 35535.0,
        "trend": 0.042333,
        "fair_value": 0.040769,
        "relative_strength": -25.166565,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.786474,
        "energy": 39.11467,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.038667,
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          0.03919,
          0.040194
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.12,
        "volume": 1800900,
        "typical_volume": 125580.0,
        "trend": 0.044667,
        "fair_value": 0.041154,
        "relative_strength": 121.856676,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.318679,
        "energy": 68.972443,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.066,
          0.053455,
          0.046857,
          0.045204
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.08,
        "volume": 431400,
        "typical_volume": 132680.0,
        "trend": 0.045667,
        "fair_value": 0.041346,
        "relative_strength": 47.944517,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.588699,
        "energy": 76.788708,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.074667,
          0.059455,
          0.050333,
          0.047484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.05,
        "volume": 755300,
        "typical_volume": 168685.0,
        "trend": 0.045667,
        "fair_value": 0.04141,
        "relative_strength": -6.481711,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.981138,
        "energy": 60.469023,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.07,
          0.059273,
          0.050762,
          0.047763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.04,
        "volume": 453500,
        "typical_volume": 190785.0,
        "trend": 0.045333,
        "fair_value": 0.041346,
        "relative_strength": -23.830258,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.634333,
        "energy": 43.976833,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.061333,
          0.057091,
          0.05019,
          0.047398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.05,
        "volume": 76000,
        "typical_volume": 194585.0,
        "trend": 0.045333,
        "fair_value": 0.04141,
        "relative_strength": -6.865096,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.504808,
        "energy": 16.382959,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.056,
          0.056727,
          0.050571,
          0.047699
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}