{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1ef4364-71aa-41ae-b862-88fc6d1cd6b3", "symbol": "GOKULAGRO", "name": "Gokul Agro Resources Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 90.346, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.947, "architecture_energy": 24.114, "architecture_maturity": 39.321, "architecture_confidence": 66.662, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.42, "rotation_up": 37.65, "upward_expansion": 60.72, "deceleration": 64.46, "rotation_down": 24.47, "downward_expansion": 15.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 221.020001, 219.317638, 221.605621, 214.159592 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 228.800003, "trend_reference": 201.374334, "distance_from_trend": 0.136192, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 133.330192, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.71604, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 18.864335, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.419619, "excess_performance": 0.463328, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.136192, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055722, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.71604, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.286253, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.188643, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.232479, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.419619, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.931369, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2810932, "relative_activity": 0.726071, "balance": 1.931369, "dry_up": 0.777145, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069429, "annualized_volatility": 0.32159, "from_high_reference": -0.084507, "from_low_reference": 0.546991 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 201.374334, "fair_value_reference": 133.330192, "structural_low": 154.25, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.054299, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.733333, "median_excess_return": 0.036397, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.396996, "worst_return": -0.152726, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.076229, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.048147, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.659767, "worst_return": -0.247242, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.302854, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.226505, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.804657, "worst_return": -0.124077, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"close": 217.710007, "volume": 1458898, "typical_volume": 7948409.35, "trend": 196.097334, "fair_value": 129.162724, "relative_strength": 18.012841, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.855995, "energy": 23.384977, "activity_lines": [ 216.993337, 222.097458, 219.183811, 208.638732 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 211.740005, "volume": 2941356, "typical_volume": 7970944.45, "trend": 196.835001, "fair_value": 130.176923, "relative_strength": 13.539736, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.52325, "energy": 21.715528, "activity_lines": [ 214.281337, 219.477822, 219.44105, 209.647937 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 209.929993, "volume": 1310598, "typical_volume": 7984975.05, "trend": 197.756, "fair_value": 131.152115, "relative_strength": 14.501673, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.345954, "energy": 17.960132, "activity_lines": [ 212.388001, 217.020002, 219.325144, 210.492775 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 225.080002, "volume": 4971748, "typical_volume": 8196377.6, "trend": 199.288334, "fair_value": 132.214327, "relative_strength": 18.764447, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.832142, "energy": 14.290289, "activity_lines": [ 216.334001, 217.864184, 220.443859, 212.255614 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 228.800003, "volume": 2810932, "typical_volume": 3871426.3, "trend": 201.374334, "fair_value": 133.330192, "relative_strength": 18.864335, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.947045, "energy": 24.113534, "activity_lines": [ 221.020001, 219.317638, 221.605621, 214.159592 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }