{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1f2d1bb-d861-4274-b693-eb47d1203a1b", "symbol": "TECX", "name": "Tectonic Therapeutic, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 26.778, "architecture_energy": 18.771, "architecture_maturity": 70.084, "architecture_confidence": 90.44, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.53, "rotation_up": 25.27, "upward_expansion": 50.79, "deceleration": 88.16, "rotation_down": 34.51, "downward_expansion": 23.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.513333, 31.576, 30.999429, 30.366065 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 30.98, "trend_reference": 28.664167, "distance_from_trend": 0.080792, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.630417, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.311022, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 10.662313, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.271235, "excess_performance": 0.083781, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.080792, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155153, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.311022, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008068, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.106623, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02679, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.271235, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.813224, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 741500, "relative_activity": 0.796294, "balance": 0.813224, "dry_up": 0.908939, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131076, "annualized_volatility": 0.776173, "from_high_reference": -0.216248, "from_low_reference": 1.153632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.664167, "fair_value_reference": 23.630417, "structural_low": 16.77, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.009493, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.023459, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.798475, "worst_return": -0.305882, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.019355, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.054809, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.519733, "worst_return": -0.625765, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.1181, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.329934, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.641608, "worst_return": -0.517097, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.793795, "energy": 39.239754, "activity_lines": [ 32.880667, 32.348727, 31.207857, 30.197441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.03, "volume": 910992, "typical_volume": 950033.45, "trend": 28.316833, "fair_value": 23.551827, "relative_strength": 5.427048, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.107683, "energy": 11.686454, "activity_lines": [ 31.073333, 31.684273, 30.950595, 30.194247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.98, "volume": 741500, "typical_volume": 931188.65, "trend": 28.664167, "fair_value": 23.630417, "relative_strength": 10.662313, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.778319, "energy": 18.770561, "activity_lines": [ 30.513333, 31.576, 30.999429, 30.366065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }