{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1f71ad0-3245-4945-9d81-d42c6ccbb1ef", "symbol": "AVGV", "name": "AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST AVANTIS ALL EQUITY MARKETS VALUE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.012, "architecture_energy": 57.92, "architecture_maturity": 47.898, "architecture_confidence": 85.328, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.46, "rotation_up": 58.8, "upward_expansion": 81.53, "deceleration": 59.65, "rotation_down": 24.1, "downward_expansion": 8.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 86.2961, 85.785455, 84.821967, 83.429862 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 87.8243, "trend_reference": 81.691973, "distance_from_trend": 0.075066, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 63.473863, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.383629, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.256866, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.097072, "excess_performance": -0.028553, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.075066, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059031, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.383629, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012723, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.022569, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020238, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.097072, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.640783, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 336476, "relative_activity": 1.736823, "balance": 1.640783, "dry_up": 1.51714, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021705, "annualized_volatility": 0.126073, "from_high_reference": -0.006625, "from_low_reference": 0.343125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 81.691973, "fair_value_reference": 63.473863, "structural_low": 74.558539, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.017461, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.009227, "regime_survival": 0.923077, "best_return": 0.061488, "worst_return": -0.05985, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.055251, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.02005, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.065301, "worst_return": 0.04527, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.140293, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.042948, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.155285, "worst_return": 0.125301, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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85.475333, 85.292244, 84.343805, 83.007638 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.8243, "volume": 336476, "typical_volume": 193730.75, "trend": 81.691973, "fair_value": 63.473863, "relative_strength": 2.256866, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.012174, "energy": 57.920155, "activity_lines": [ 86.2961, 85.785455, 84.821967, 83.429862 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }