{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1fab74c-b4eb-4b05-8919-992b250e320b", "symbol": "XCX7", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI China UCITS ETF 1D", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -10.338, "architecture_energy": 19.998, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 47.438, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.49, "rotation_up": 40.95, "upward_expansion": 23.7, "deceleration": 41.31, "rotation_down": 17.26, "downward_expansion": 55.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.907533, 6.793164, 6.850979, 6.940555 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.07, "trend_reference": 7.102696, "distance_from_trend": -0.004603, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.335533, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.115928, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.594831, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.06562, "excess_performance": -0.116856, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.004603, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04465, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.115928, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038893, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.125948, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038554, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.06562, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.755224, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 529432, "relative_activity": 6.171899, "balance": 1.755224, "dry_up": 2.068895, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028174, "annualized_volatility": 0.172599, "from_high_reference": -0.336807, "from_low_reference": 0.114439 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.102696, "fair_value_reference": 6.335533, "structural_low": 6.344, 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"relative_strength": -13.811653, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.325953, "energy": 21.8178, "activity_lines": [ 6.792, 6.732736, 6.836993, 6.944137 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.07, "volume": 529432, "typical_volume": 85781.05, "trend": 7.102696, "fair_value": 6.335533, "relative_strength": -12.594831, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -10.338241, "energy": 19.998413, "activity_lines": [ 6.907533, 6.793164, 6.850979, 6.940555 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }