{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a1fe959b-a069-4ac3-9dd2-fed55b4d5809", "symbol": "CGUI", "name": "CAPITAL GROUP ULTRA SHORT INCOME ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.697, "architecture_energy": 67.339, "architecture_maturity": 4.486, "architecture_confidence": 72.578, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.5, "rotation_up": 67.26, "upward_expansion": 86.84, "deceleration": 46.87, "rotation_down": 14.46, "downward_expansion": 13.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.27661, 25.254092, 25.231397, 25.202614 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 25.31, "trend_reference": 25.157218, "distance_from_trend": 0.006073, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.352786, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.039306, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.795526, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.01035, "excess_performance": -0.115275, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.006073, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005197, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.039306, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.3e-05, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.097955, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001026, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.01035, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.17459, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1887946, "relative_activity": 3.017203, "balance": 4.17459, "dry_up": 1.261527, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.002496, "annualized_volatility": 0.007684, "from_high_reference": -0.00079, "from_low_reference": 0.033418 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.157218, "fair_value_reference": 24.352786, "structural_low": 25.035923, 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"fair_value": 24.335451, "relative_strength": -6.411294, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.87785, "energy": 36.370816, "activity_lines": [ 25.231946, 25.230019, 25.211126, 25.182247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.285, "volume": 370661, "typical_volume": 599397.85, "trend": 25.14556, "fair_value": 24.344084, "relative_strength": -7.023343, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.472302, "energy": 47.360652, "activity_lines": [ 25.253253, 25.240703, 25.220558, 25.192005 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.31, "volume": 1887946, "typical_volume": 625727.15, "trend": 25.157218, "fair_value": 24.352786, "relative_strength": -9.795526, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.697286, "energy": 67.338797, "activity_lines": [ 25.27661, 25.254092, 25.231397, 25.202614 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }