{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a2006b99-8170-43c4-ac20-8839bafc6ebb", "symbol": "688393", "name": "Guangzhou LBP Medicine Science & Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.459, "architecture_energy": 50.919, "architecture_maturity": 87.692, "architecture_confidence": 87.66, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.94, "rotation_up": 25.36, "upward_expansion": 8.15, "deceleration": 60.84, "rotation_down": 50.09, "downward_expansion": 79.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.16, 18.276727, 19.844478, 21.206636 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 19.67, "trend_reference": 23.409851, "distance_from_trend": -0.159755, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.100396, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.148499, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.744078, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.293463, "excess_performance": -0.250259, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.159755, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.075435, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.148499, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.216933, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.197441, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040407, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.293463, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.51931, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10729256, "relative_activity": 1.636427, "balance": 0.51931, "dry_up": 1.605503, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103694, "annualized_volatility": 0.393596, "from_high_reference": -0.495123, "from_low_reference": 0.252866 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.409851, "fair_value_reference": 23.100396, "structural_low": 15.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.014978, "positive_rate": 0.535714, "directional_follow_through": 0.464286, "median_excess_return": 0.010173, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.222044, "worst_return": -0.268049, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.071991, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.072494, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.226594, "worst_return": -0.220894, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.144003, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.082319, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.776398, "worst_return": -0.21373, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"gate": "down", "direction": -74.299292, "energy": 78.765484, "activity_lines": [ 18.219334, 19.130222, 20.934367, 22.338134 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.209999, "volume": 11303625, "typical_volume": 6239118.8, "trend": 23.746518, "fair_value": 23.190604, "relative_strength": -33.389212, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.749629, "energy": 69.929588, "activity_lines": [ 17.496, 18.396236, 20.364007, 21.833112 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.91, "volume": 9123761, "typical_volume": 6341838.7, "trend": 23.543851, "fair_value": 23.134131, "relative_strength": -25.812375, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.480942, "energy": 60.785911, "activity_lines": [ 17.545333, 18.118163, 20.001886, 21.456562 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.67, "volume": 10729256, "typical_volume": 6556514.9, "trend": 23.409851, "fair_value": 23.100396, "relative_strength": -19.744078, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.458964, "energy": 50.919357, "activity_lines": [ 18.16, 18.276727, 19.844478, 21.206636 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }