{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "a21639af-d324-4e61-aeff-a4ad28bf4cb9",
    "symbol": "CARE",
    "name": "Careium AB (Publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.912,
    "architecture_energy": 79.931,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.71,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.583,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.82,
        "rotation_up": 74.64,
        "upward_expansion": 96.89,
        "deceleration": 40.58,
        "rotation_down": 15.22,
        "downward_expansion": 18.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.82,
        28.858182,
        27.085714,
        25.609355
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 30.1,
    "trend_reference": 24.15,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.246377,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.724359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.126313,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 9.509359,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.280851,
    "excess_performance": 0.219357,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.246377,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043497,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126313,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.206948,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.095094,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.251517,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.280851,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.784838,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 90804,
      "relative_activity": 1.030146,
      "balance": 1.784838,
      "dry_up": 0.66551,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.06849,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.388294,
      "from_high_reference": -0.022727,
      "from_low_reference": 0.627027
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.15,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.724359,
      "structural_low": 18.5,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.020127,
        "positive_rate": 0.6875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002094,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.253823,
        "worst_return": -0.088685,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.104409,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.107559,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.267943,
        "worst_return": -0.02719,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.055093,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.007085,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.247525,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.122024,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 272396.25,
        "trend": 23.326667,
        "fair_value": 25.614744,
        "relative_strength": -16.258631,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 271024.95,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 274216.55,
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        "stage": 1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 148504.85,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 85546.95,
        "trend": 23.146667,
        "fair_value": 26.298718,
        "relative_strength": -2.081264,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 71.723827,
        "energy": 62.625629,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 30.0,
        "volume": 131904,
        "typical_volume": 86094.1,
        "trend": 23.33,
        "fair_value": 26.383333,
        "relative_strength": 11.653686,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.240019,
        "energy": 71.617783,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.626667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 29.799999,
        "volume": 55657,
        "typical_volume": 86148.35,
        "trend": 23.55,
        "fair_value": 26.46859,
        "relative_strength": 12.386076,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.7097,
        "energy": 85.299321,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.573333,
          27.38,
          25.550714,
          24.451075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 29.200001,
        "volume": 47269,
        "typical_volume": 86774.8,
        "trend": 23.756667,
        "fair_value": 26.551282,
        "relative_strength": 8.835722,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.341763,
        "energy": 82.838637,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.06,
          27.869091,
          26.055476,
          24.815592
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 29.9,
        "volume": 40920,
        "typical_volume": 86360.3,
        "trend": 23.94,
        "fair_value": 26.636859,
        "relative_strength": 10.438007,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.726999,
        "energy": 84.042703,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.513333,
          28.381818,
          26.585,
          25.211936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 30.1,
        "volume": 90804,
        "typical_volume": 88146.75,
        "trend": 24.15,
        "fair_value": 26.724359,
        "relative_strength": 9.509359,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.911889,
        "energy": 79.930566,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.82,
          28.858182,
          27.085714,
          25.609355
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}