{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a22aa4fa-2932-4565-a47e-3cb34522280c", "symbol": "ALLA", "name": "Alla Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 64.114, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.382, "architecture_energy": 26.431, "architecture_maturity": 57.157, "architecture_confidence": 54.383, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.48, "rotation_up": 41.95, "upward_expansion": 73.13, "deceleration": 64.17, "rotation_down": 22.42, "downward_expansion": 2.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.168667, 1.167636, 1.165718, 1.158755 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.17, "trend_reference": 1.1445, "distance_from_trend": 0.02228, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.203483, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.027822, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.650482, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.084746, "excess_performance": -0.10758, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.02228, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026995, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.027822, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015393, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096505, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009798, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.084746, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.209844, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1151900, "relative_activity": 0.694374, "balance": 1.209844, "dry_up": 0.787538, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021696, "annualized_volatility": 0.112143, "from_high_reference": -0.016807, "from_low_reference": 0.123144 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.1445, "fair_value_reference": 1.203483, "structural_low": 1.041719, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.004, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.003349, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.134503, "worst_return": -0.097938, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.020833, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.046701, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.256579, "worst_return": -0.203488, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.036094, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.020635, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": -0.215628, "sufficient": false }, 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1.170667, 1.168727, 1.164593, 1.155542 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.16, "volume": 1142200, "typical_volume": 1652215.0, "trend": 1.141453, "fair_value": 1.202931, "relative_strength": -11.367677, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.254059, "energy": 26.389776, "activity_lines": [ 1.168, 1.167273, 1.164807, 1.156914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.17, "volume": 1151900, "typical_volume": 1658905.0, "trend": 1.1445, "fair_value": 1.203483, "relative_strength": -9.650482, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.381924, "energy": 26.430861, "activity_lines": [ 1.168667, 1.167636, 1.165718, 1.158755 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }