{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a22df17c-3537-47cc-afab-15848e0b6146", "symbol": "ANIM", "name": "Anima Holding SpA", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.965, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.854, "architecture_energy": 22.565, "architecture_maturity": 52.695, "architecture_confidence": 79.226, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.58, "rotation_up": 30.07, "upward_expansion": 57.34, "deceleration": 87.7, "rotation_down": 26.83, "downward_expansion": 18.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.036, 7.065818, 7.036768, 6.881997 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 7.1, "trend_reference": 6.666843, "distance_from_trend": 0.064972, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.055532, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.404402, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.101068, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.097676, "excess_performance": -0.073216, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064972, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079792, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.404402, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.159911, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.021011, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123023, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.097676, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.787846, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2235795, "relative_activity": 1.581736, "balance": 0.787846, "dry_up": 0.838365, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038462, "annualized_volatility": 0.195732, "from_high_reference": -0.049531, "from_low_reference": 0.302439 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.666843, "fair_value_reference": 5.055532, "structural_low": 5.94351, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"color": "green", "start": "2024-09-06", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.259701, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.054155, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.009267, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.039529, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.01461, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.043055, "active": false }, { 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7.125455, 6.942426, 6.755814 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.11, "volume": 581762, "typical_volume": 1410934.2, "trend": 6.528416, "fair_value": 4.978513, "relative_strength": 1.190812, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.572713, "energy": 33.809346, "activity_lines": [ 7.102, 7.117818, 6.978104, 6.796523 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.07, "volume": 833126, "typical_volume": 1346009.25, "trend": 6.57711, "fair_value": 5.005248, "relative_strength": 0.843779, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.169758, "energy": 31.948924, "activity_lines": [ 7.089333, 7.107273, 7.00654, 6.831464 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.88, "volume": 1089460, "typical_volume": 1342353.35, "trend": 6.619625, "fair_value": 5.029601, "relative_strength": -2.400269, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.071048, "energy": 21.616832, "activity_lines": [ 7.022667, 7.065273, 7.012932, 6.851005 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.1, "volume": 2235795, "typical_volume": 1413507.4, "trend": 6.666843, "fair_value": 5.055532, "relative_strength": -2.101068, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.853789, "energy": 22.564898, "activity_lines": [ 7.036, 7.065818, 7.036768, 6.881997 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }