{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a234ddc2-768a-4b1d-ad36-1a19553ce9f0", "symbol": "4210", "name": "Saudi Research and Media Group", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.219, "architecture_energy": 78.385, "architecture_maturity": 87.273, "architecture_confidence": 86.223, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.39, "rotation_up": 11.01, "upward_expansion": 17.85, "deceleration": 40.39, "rotation_down": 76.92, "downward_expansion": 93.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.853333, 66.548181, 71.216666, 75.492365 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 63.599998, "trend_reference": 83.785, "distance_from_trend": -0.240914, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 181.845192, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.650252, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -44.705223, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.405607, "excess_performance": -0.373778, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.240914, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.227088, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.650252, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051123, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.447052, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007228, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.405607, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.286849, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 827638, "relative_activity": 0.980428, "balance": 0.286849, "dry_up": 1.401727, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.091921, "annualized_volatility": 0.419968, "from_high_reference": -0.680402, "from_low_reference": 0.10898 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 83.785, "fair_value_reference": 181.845192, 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"modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.874558, "energy": 66.362167, "activity_lines": [ 72.256667, 74.651818, 76.999761, 82.373871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 64.25, "volume": 861917, "typical_volume": 822302.2, "trend": 90.45, "fair_value": 184.127564, "relative_strength": -46.675069, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.504128, "energy": 85.948723, "activity_lines": [ 68.91, 72.553636, 75.564285, 80.52129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.700001, "volume": 1987516, "typical_volume": 824377.3, "trend": 88.04, "fair_value": 183.397436, "relative_strength": -46.500683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.18699, "energy": 88.533324, "activity_lines": [ 66.520001, 70.585455, 74.160238, 78.795484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.049999, "volume": 1056053, "typical_volume": 819289.5, "trend": 85.808333, "fair_value": 182.629807, "relative_strength": -48.397142, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.540988, "energy": 91.245878, "activity_lines": [ 63.496667, 67.979091, 72.414761, 76.925161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.599998, "volume": 827638, "typical_volume": 844159.65, "trend": 83.785, "fair_value": 181.845192, "relative_strength": -44.705223, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.219184, "energy": 78.38533, "activity_lines": [ 62.853333, 66.548181, 71.216666, 75.492365 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }