{ "ticker": { "uuid": "a234f228-f1b8-48df-a943-f433cef8d8c4", "symbol": "ATHM", "name": "Autohome Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 81.588, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 46.431, "architecture_energy": 74.501, "architecture_maturity": 20.556, "architecture_confidence": 58.659, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.61, "rotation_up": 76.44, "upward_expansion": 67.06, "deceleration": 20.86, "rotation_down": 16.14, "downward_expansion": 25.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.211333, 20.769781, 19.278994, 19.00856 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 22.72, "trend_reference": 19.222472, "distance_from_trend": 0.18195, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.290645, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.024501, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.274214, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.087081, "excess_performance": -0.038544, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.18195, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0497, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.024501, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.206126, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.062742, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.228871, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087081, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.876412, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3885537, "relative_activity": 1.166076, "balance": 1.876412, "dry_up": 1.192515, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.080882, "annualized_volatility": 0.371024, "from_high_reference": -0.182727, "from_low_reference": 0.511832 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.222472, "fair_value_reference": 23.290645, "structural_low": 15.028125, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.00554, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.023288, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.06688, "worst_return": -0.133527, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.062255, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.151163, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.051083, "worst_return": -0.210008, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.125334, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.244667, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.058805, "worst_return": -0.208109, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.489576, "energy": 42.332601, "activity_lines": [ 19.777726, 18.566142, 18.065244, 18.399868 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.11, "volume": 3441106, "typical_volume": 3416974.05, "trend": 19.185472, "fair_value": 23.321317, "relative_strength": -10.123613, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 33.832202, "energy": 57.371742, "activity_lines": [ 20.455987, 19.17539, 18.365129, 18.521395 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.22, "volume": 4997528, "typical_volume": 3433938.4, "trend": 19.203472, "fair_value": 23.304338, "relative_strength": -1.623247, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 56.543103, "energy": 75.53759, "activity_lines": [ 21.594, 20.083596, 18.856251, 18.781687 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.72, "volume": 3885537, "typical_volume": 3332148.4, "trend": 19.222472, "fair_value": 23.290645, "relative_strength": -6.274214, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.430744, "energy": 74.500582, "activity_lines": [ 22.211333, 20.769781, 19.278994, 19.00856 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }